Match Info

MLS Next Pro

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Morrone Stadium (Storrs, CT)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	Onefootball


	CT United		Philadelphia Union II

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.98	3.55	3.3
	1.98	3.55	3.15
	2.01	3.63	3.37	Watch
	2	3.25	3.2
	1.96	3.52	3.26	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.68)	3.5 ↓ (3.91)	3.26 ↓ (4.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CT United
45.9%

Draw
26.1%

Philadelphia Union II
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

23.3%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

23.8%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CT United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that CT United's form might have worsened.

Philadelphia Union II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Philadelphia Union II's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CT United than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for CT United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Union II than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Philadelphia Union II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

CT United - Philadelphia Union II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ramos A. (G) 6. Perdomo R. 4. Hauth R. 12. Kamrath L. 44. Medranda J. 7. Tanyi B. 30. Gomez E. 46. Koloniaris N. 13. Monis A. 11. Goddard L. 9. Caua Paixao	30. Holbrook P. (G) 38. Sequera G. 66. Sundstrom F. 40. Uzcategui R. 68. Griffin J. 47. LeBlanc K. 42. Berthe M. 41. De Paula M. 49. Ferreira W. 77. Davis III E. 37. Korzeniowski S.
Substitutes
22. Applewhaite A. 24. D’Ippolito D. 99. Kouonang H. 14. Lacy D. 84. Nicolas J. 2. Rodriguez C. (G) 21. Van Hees R.	36. Benitez O. 63. Hasan N. 93. Lorent C. (G) 46. Moore K. 55. Olivas S. 90. Pratt O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
19', 1 - 0, Caua Paixao ⚽, Monis A. (A),
35', 🟨,
37', 1 - 1, Davis III E. ⚽, Korzeniowski S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', 1 - 2, Korzeniowski S. ⚽, Berthe M. (A),
63', LeBlanc K. ↓, Hasan N. ↑,
63', Ferreira W. ↓, Olivas S. ↑,
66', Medranda J. 🟨,
67', Tanyi B. ↓, Applewhaite A. ↑,
68', Caua Paixao ↓, Kouonang H. ↑,
68', Hauth R. ↓, Van Hees R. ↑,
76', Davis III E. ↓, Benitez O. ↑,
79', Koloniaris N. ↓, Lacy D. ↑,
79', Medranda J. ↓, D’Ippolito D. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

CT United is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Philadelphia II has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Philadelphia II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, CT United has had a series of away games.

In this match, CT United is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, CT United won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CT United FC
MLS Next Pro
19.04.26	New York City II - CT United	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	CT United - Columbus Crew 2	1:3 ✺
22.03.26	New England Revolution II - CT United	2:0 ✺
15.03.26	Philadelphia Union II - CT United	1:2 ✺
08.03.26	Chattanooga - CT United	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLLWL
- Philadelphia Union II
MLS Next Pro
17.04.26	Toronto FC II - Philadelphia Union II	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Philadelphia Union II - Carolina Core	4:1 ✺
22.03.26	New York Red Bulls 2 - Philadelphia Union II	1:2 penalties ✺
15.03.26	Philadelphia Union II - CT United	1:2 ✺
08.03.26	Philadelphia Union II - Cincinnati 2	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

MLS Next Pro
15.03.26	Philadelphia Union II - CT United	1:2

CT United - Philadelphia Union II: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide