The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Philadelphia Union II 26.5%
Draw 23%
CT United 50.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.1%
25.5%
41.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.3%
24.9%
42.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Philadelphia Union II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Philadelphia Union II's form might have worsened.
CT United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting CT United's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philadelphia Union II than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Philadelphia Union II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for CT United than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for CT United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Philadelphia Union II - CT United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Holbrook P. (G) 38. Sequera G. 66. Sundstrom F. 2. Martinez G. 68. Griffin J. 47. LeBlanc K. 36. Benitez O. 93. Diop A. 49. Ferreira W. 37. Korzeniowski S. 55. Olivas S.
23. Rankenburg G. (G) 21. Van Hees R. 15. Stephenson J. 12. Kamrath L. 47. Wolanski A. 8. Sserwadda S. 31. Mora-Arias R. 13. Monis A. 7. Tanyi B. 14. Lacy D. 70. Destin B.
Substitutes
42. Berthe M. 41. De Paula M. 59. Gladstone T. 53. Mendoza I. 46. Moore K. 90. Pratt O. 45. Reed T. 54. Ruf J. 95. White M. (G)
17. Agostoni W. 22. Applewhaite A. 5. Boamah M. 9. Caua Paixao 16. Che N. 24. DโIppolito D. 11. Gomez E. 77. Ping J. 1. Ramos A. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 4)
1', 0 - 1, Lacy D. ⚽, Destin B. (A),
4', Mora-Arias R. 🟨,
6', Griffin J. 🟨,
13', 0 - 2, Destin B. ⚽, Monis A. (A),
20', Olivas S. 🟨,
24', LeBlanc K. 🟨,
44', Destin B. 🟨,
45+2', 0 - 3, Tanyi B. ⚽, Van Hees R. (A),
45+3', 0 - 4, Destin B. ⚽, Tanyi B. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Ferreira W. ↓, De Paula M. ↑,
46', Sundstrom F. ↓, Moore K. ↑,
48', Moore K. 🟨,
52', Mora-Arias R. ↓, Agostoni W. ↑,
54', Tanyi B. 🟨,
55', 1 - 4, Korzeniowski S. (Penalty Awarded),
58', Korzeniowski S. 🟨,
61', 2 - 4, Korzeniowski S. ⚽, De Paula M. (A),
65', Olivas S. ↓, Reed T. ↑,
68', Stephenson J. ↓, Boamah M. ↑,
68', Wolanski A. ↓, Che N. ↑,
68', Destin B. ↓, DโIppolito D. ↑,
68', Lacy D. ↓, Ping J. ↑,
69', Sserwadda S. 🟨,
73', Diop A. ↓, Mendoza I. ↑,
77', 🟨,
84', LeBlanc K. 🟨,
84', Tanyi B. ↓, Caua Paixao ↑,
85', DโIppolito D. 🟨,
90+4', Benitez O. ↓, Berthe M. ↑,
90+5', Griffin J. ↓, Gladstone T. ↑,
90+12', Monis A. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
Recent performances by Philadelphia II have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
CT United is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 4).
Philadelphia II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Philadelphia II has had a series of away games.
CT United might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia II won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
Including home match between the teams, Philadelphia II won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.