Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 16

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Cabeza del Buey		Jaraíz

	1	X	2
	2.22	3.15	2.88
	2.60	2.49	3.39	Watch
	2.15	3.1	3.1
	2.18	3.16	3.07
	2.14	3.33	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.48)	3.05 ↓ (3.3)	3.09 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cabeza del Buey
40.4%

Draw
30%

Jaraíz
29.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.4%

27.3%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

27.3%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cabeza del Buey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Jaraíz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jaraíz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cabeza del Buey than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaraíz than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jaraíz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cabeza del Buey - Jaraíz Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Cabeza del Buey (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cabeza del Buey (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )).

Cabeza del Buey is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Jaraíz has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Cabeza del Buey	8	2	4	2	11:10	1	10
13	Jaraiz	8	2	2	4	12:12	0	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Cabeza del Buey
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
20.12.25	Montehermoso - Cabeza del Buey	0:3 ✺
14.12.25	Cabeza del Buey - Villanovense	0:0 ✺
07.12.25	Jerez - Cabeza del Buey	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Llerenense - Cabeza del Buey	1:2 ✺
16.11.25	Cabeza del Buey - Badajoz	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WTTWW
- CF Jaraíz
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
20.12.25	Jaraíz - Llerenense	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Badajoz - Jaraíz	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	Jaraíz - Pueblonuevo	2:1 ✺
23.11.25	Montijo - Jaraíz	1:0 ✺
16.11.25	Jaraíz - Moralo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TLWLW

Cabeza del Buey - Jaraíz

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Cabeza del Buey - Jaraíz Predictions

Key Events of the Match

Preview

Standings

Form

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