Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 24 May 2026, Sunday


	Badajoz		Jaraíz

	1	X	2
	1.46	4.05	5.7
	1.41	4.37	6.53
	1.53	4.09	5.45	Watch
	1.44	3.75	6
	1.43	4.05	6.54
	1.59	3.6	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.54)	3.99 ↑ (3.35)	5.8 ↑ (4.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Badajoz
61.5%

Draw
22.8%

Jaraíz
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.1%

25.3%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7%

22.6%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Badajoz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Badajoz's performance.

Jaraíz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Badajoz than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaraíz than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Badajoz - Jaraíz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Bravo C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
81', 2 - 0, Bermudez J. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

First leg result: 0-1.

Badajoz is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Jaraíz has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Badajoz may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Badajoz is a strong favorite.

We predict that Badajoz will win today's game, with odds of 1.56.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Badajoz won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Badajoz won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Jaraiz	5	1	1	3	6:9	-3	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Badajoz
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
17.05.26	Jaraíz - Badajoz	1:0 ✺
10.05.26	Badajoz - Gévora	3:0
03.05.26	Calamonte - Badajoz	0:3 ✺
19.04.26	Jaraíz - Badajoz	1:4 ✺
12.04.26	Badajoz - Montehermoso	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWWWW
- CF Jaraíz
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
17.05.26	Jaraíz - Badajoz	1:0 ✺
19.04.26	Jaraíz - Badajoz	1:4 ✺
12.04.26	Pueblonuevo - Jaraíz	1:0 ✺
05.04.26	Jaraíz - Montijo	1:0 ✺
29.03.26	Moralo - Jaraíz	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
17.05.26	Jaraíz - Badajoz	1:0
19.04.26	Jaraíz - Badajoz	1:4
14.12.25	Badajoz - Jaraíz	2:1
20.10.24	Badajoz - Jaraíz	1:2

Upcoming Matches