Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 11

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday


	Jaraíz		Moralo

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.4	4.45
	1.79	3.47	4.15
	1.25	5.26	10.98	Watch
	1.75	3.38	4.29
	1.52	3.65	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.65)	3.83 ↑ (3.65)	6.01 ↑ (4.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jaraíz
59.4%

Draw
24.8%

Moralo
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

25.1%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

23.7%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jaraíz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Moralo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaraíz than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moralo than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Jaraíz - Moralo Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Elena D. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
69', 2 - 0, Cordeiro F. ⚽,
80', 3 - 0, Ramos Moreno A. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )).

Jaraíz is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Moralo's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Jaraíz may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Jaraíz is considered a favorite.

We predict that Jaraíz will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Jaraíz won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Jaraíz won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 4:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Jaraíz
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
09.11.25	Diocesano - Jaraíz	2:3 ✺
02.11.25	Jaraíz - Villafranca	4:1 ✺
26.10.25	Don Benito - Jaraíz	2:2 ✺
19.10.25	Jaraíz - Santa Amalia	1:0 ✺
12.10.25	Azuaga - Jaraíz	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WWTWT
- Moralo CP
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
02.11.25	Villanovense - Moralo	0:1 ✺
26.10.25	Moralo - Cabeza del Buey	1:3 ✺
19.10.25	Llerenense - Moralo	0:0 ✺
12.10.25	Moralo - Badajoz	1:0 ✺
04.10.25	Pueblonuevo - Moralo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
27.04.25	Jaraíz - Moralo	6:1
26.11.23	Jaraíz - Moralo	2:1

Jaraíz - Moralo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide