Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 3

Date: 14 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Principe Felipe (Cáceres)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Cacereño		Arenteiro

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.1	3.9
	2.3	3	2.85
	1.92	3.15	4.05
	2.36	3.1	3.04
	2.28	2.33	4.81	Watch
	1.95	3.22	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (2.08)	2.98 ↓ (3.15)	3.75 ↑ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cacereño
44%

Draw
31.2%

Arenteiro
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

29.2%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

28.7%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cacereño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Arenteiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cacereño than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenteiro than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Cacereño - Arenteiro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nieves D. (G) 2. Martinez I. 5. de Diego J. 4. Crespo A. 22. Hernandez E. 9. Gomez D. 18. Sanchis R. 8. Deco (C) 20. Gonzalez C. 7. Fernandez I. 11. Sanchidrian R.	13. Garcia D. (G) 3. Lohr L. 5. Perez G. 22. Sanchez J. 15. Moreno D. 7. Ferreiro D. 8. Gonzalez D. 6. Val B. 25. Bastida A. 24. Richarte R. 18. Mingo V.
Substitutes
3. Barrio J. 17. Berlanga M. 23. El Goumiri O. 19. Gomez C. 16. Gutierrez D. 13. Martinez I. (G) 21. Morales A. 6. Rementeria U. 24. Valdera R.	19. Alpha M. 1. Alvin (G) 11. Cuellar J. 10. De Camargo W. 4. Falcon E. 16. Guerrero J. 12. Ochoa M. 23. Romera D. 14. Safrai

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', Sanchidrian R. 🟨,
43', 0 - 1, Mingo V. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Deco ↓, Hyjek J. ↑,
53', Val B. 🟨,
61', Gonzalez D. ↓, Romera D. ↑,
65', 0 - 2, Moreno D. ⚽,
68', Gonzalez C. ↓, Berlanga M. ↑,
68', Sanchis R. ↓, Gomez C. ↑,
73', Richarte R. ↓, Cuellar J. ↑,
81', Sanchis R. ↓, Rementeria U. ↑,
84', Ferreiro D. ↓, Falcon E. ↑,
85', Mingo V. ↓, Ochoa M. ↑,

Preview

Cacereño is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Arenteiro's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Arenteiro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Cacereño has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CP Cacereño
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
06.09.25	Arenas Club de Getxo - Cacereño	2:2 ✺
30.08.25	Pontevedra - Cacereño	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
16.08.25	CD Extremadura - Cacereño	1:2 ✺
09.08.25	Alcorcón - Cacereño	1:1 ✺
06.08.25	Villanovense - Cacereño	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 TTWTW
- CD Arenteiro
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
07.09.25	Arenteiro - Unionistas de Salamanca	1:0 ✺
31.08.25	Arenas Club de Getxo - Arenteiro	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
17.08.25	Arenteiro - UD Ourense	3:0 ✺
15.08.25	Pontevedra - Arenteiro	2:0 ✺
10.08.25	Sporting de Gijón - Arenteiro	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWLL

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