The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pontevedra 50.8%
Draw 30.3%
Arenteiro 18.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.2%
26.4%
12.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63.7%
25.4%
11.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pontevedra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pontevedra's form might have worsened.
Arenteiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arenteiro's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontevedra than the current prediction. (+12.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pontevedra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arenteiro than the current prediction. (-7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arenteiro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Pontevedra - Arenteiro Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Marqueta R. (G) 23. Montoro A. 4. Bosch M. 3. Exposito A. 2. Eimil V. 16. Vidorreta A. 10. Pino Y. 6. Ribeiro A. 24. Rodriguez T. 14. Resende J. 22. Comparada Gonzalez A.
1. Alvin (G) 3. Lohr L. 4. Falcon E. 21. Llacer L. 22. Sanchez J. 15. Moreno D. 25. Bastida A. 19. Alpha M. 14. Safrai 11. Cuellar J. 18. Mingo V.
Substitutes
8. Abelenda B. 19. Garay B. 20. Gil A. 17. Macias L. 33. Outeirino I. 5. Perez A. 1. Sousa E. (G)
7. Ferreiro D. 13. Garcia D. (G) 8. Gonzalez D. 16. Guerrero J. 2. Moya P. 9. Ramon N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
13', Llacer L. ↓, Gonzalez D. ↑,
33', Pino Y. 🟨,
35', 0 - 1, Sanchez J. ⚽,
38', 1 - 1, Eimil V. ⚽,
45+5', Moreno D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
69', Eimil V. ↓, Macias L. ↑,
71', Safrai ↓, Guerrero J. ↑,
75', Rodriguez T. 🟨,
78', Cuellar J. ↓, Alpha M. ↑,
83', Rodriguez T. ↓, Abelenda B. ↑,
83', Resende J. ↓, Gil A. ↑,
90+2', Mingo V. ↓, Ramon N. ↑,
90+3', 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pontevedra won 2.
Pontevedra has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Arenteiro has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
In this match, Pontevedra is considered a favorite.
We predict that Pontevedra will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Pontevedra won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:5. (average 1.6:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Pontevedra won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
Spain
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Marqueta R. (G) 
Resende J. 
Safrai 
Cuellar J. 
Garay B. 
Macias L. 
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