Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 1

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Pasarón (Pontevedra)


	Pontevedra		Cacereño

	1	X	2
	2.05	3	3.3
	1.9	3.1	3.6
	2.1	2.88	3.7
	2.23	3.05	4.18
	4.56	3.08	1.88	Watch
	2.16	3.15	3.47
	1.85	3.05	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (1.93)	3.04 ↓ (3.16)	3.43 ↓ (3.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pontevedra
40.1%

Draw
31.7%

Cacereño
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

28.9%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

29.1%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pontevedra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pontevedra's form might have worsened.

Cacereño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontevedra than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pontevedra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cacereño than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Pontevedra - Cacereño Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Cacereño (1.66) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Cacereño (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Marqueta R. (G) 19. Garay B. 4. Bosch M. 23. Montoro A. 3. Exposito A. 10. Pino Y. 16. Vidorreta A. 8. Abelenda B. 6. Ribeiro A. 7. Gonzalez A. (C) 9. Selma D.	1. Nieves D. (G) 22. Hernandez E. 2. Martinez I. 4. Crespo A. 5. de Diego J. 8. Deco (C) 10. Hyjek J. 7. Fernandez I. 20. Gonzalez C. 17. Berlanga M. 9. Gomez D.
Substitutes
5. Conesa N. 11. Cuesta M. 2. Eimil V. 30. Gil R. 21. Hervias P. 15. Juanra 17. Macias L. 26. Mareque A. 27. Marques D. 1. Sousa E. (G)	23. El Goumiri O. 19. Gomez C. 13. Martinez I. (G) 21. Morales A. 6. Rementeria U. 11. Sanchidrian R. 18. Sanchis R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Gonzalez C. ⚽,
35', Berlanga M. 🟨,
45+8', Garay B. ↓, Eimil V. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Fernandez I. ↓, Sanchidrian R. ↑,
46', Deco 🟨,
50', Sanchidrian R. 🟨,
60', Exposito A. ↓, Macias L. ↑,
62', Deco ↓, Sanchis R. ↑,
62', Berlanga M. ↓, Rementeria U. ↑,
62', Gomez D. ↓, Gomez C. ↑,
68', Gonzalez A. 🟨,
74', de Diego J. 🟨,
79', Hyjek J. ↓, El Goumiri O. ↑,
82', Vidorreta A. ↓, Conesa N. ↑,
83', Eimil V. 🟨,
86', Selma D. 🟨,
90+9', 1 - 1, Marqueta R. ⚽, Pino Y. (A),
90+11', 🟨,

Preview

In recent matches, Pontevedra has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Cacereño is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Cacereño may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

Pontevedra will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Pontevedra won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Pontevedra won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pontevedra CF
Club Friendly
20.08.25	Coruxo - Pontevedra	3:0 ✺
16.08.25	Villalonga - Pontevedra	0:2 ✺
15.08.25	Pontevedra - Arenteiro	2:0 ✺
07.08.25	Estradense - Pontevedra	0:2 ✺
02.08.25	Porto B - Pontevedra	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWWWL
- CP Cacereño
Club Friendly
16.08.25	CD Extremadura - Cacereño	1:2 ✺
09.08.25	Alcorcón - Cacereño	1:1 ✺
06.08.25	Villanovense - Cacereño	0:2 ✺
02.08.25	Talavera de la Reina - Cacereño	1:3 ✺
30.07.25	Badajoz - Cacereño	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
17.01.16	Pontevedra - Cacereño	0:0
30.08.15	Cacereño - Pontevedra	1:0

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