The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pontevedra 42.9%
Draw 29%
Cacereño 28.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
41.3%
28.5%
30.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.2%
27.2%
28.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pontevedra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
Cacereño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontevedra than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cacereño than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Pontevedra - Cacereño Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Marqueta R. (G) 16. Vidorreta A. 5. Perez A. 15. Alba D. 20. Rui Pedro 14. Macias L. 8. Ramos J. 10. Pino Y. (C) 3. Gaye P. 9. Mba D. 22. Comparada Gonzalez A.
1. Nieves D. (G) 17. Lopez S. 2. Martinez Munoz I. 3. Molina M. 22. Exposito A. 11. Monerris A. 6. Conesa N. 5. Calvo T. 10. Runy 7. Fernandez I. (C) 9. Chit O.
Substitutes
2. Argos A. 23. Bravo M. 21. Charid I. 11. Elejalde I. 18. Ergouai R. 13. Galindo I. (G) 17. Gil A. 7. Gonzalez A. 6. Ivorra I. 4. Juanra 19. Omoregbe B.
14. Alonso J. 18. Artola J. 4. Barea P. 24. Cabrera U. 13. Garcia G. (G) 8. Gete A. 23. Gonzalez J. 16. Navarro S. 15. Rodriguez V. 21. Sanchez L. 20. Tellechea I.
Coaches
Dominguez R.
Cobos J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
7', Calvo T. 🟨,
11', 1 - 0, Pino Y. (Penalty Awarded),
13', Martinez Munoz I. 🟨,
39', Vidorreta A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Calvo T. ↓, Sanchez L. ↑,
59', Fernandez I. ↓, Artola J. ↑,
59', Runy ↓, Navarro S. ↑,
60', Macias L. ↓, Gil A. ↑,
65', Macias L. 🟨,
71', Mba D. ↓, Elejalde I. ↑,
71', Gaye P. ↓, Argos A. ↑,
71', Alba D. ↓, Ergouai R. ↑,
76', Exposito A. 🟨,
80', Monerris A. ↓, Tellechea I. ↑,
83', Artola J. 🟨,
84', Lopez S. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
90+5', Artola J. 🟨,
90+6', Martinez Munoz I. 🟨,
90+8', Gil A. ↓, Bravo M. ↑,
90+10', Conesa N. 🟨,
Preview
A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 15th and 5th in the Promotion - Primera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs).
Pontevedra is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Cacereño has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Pontevedra may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Pontevedra is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Pontevedra has recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:3 (averaging 0.3:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Pontevedra against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 1:1 goals (averaging 0.5:0.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Cacereno
9
4
3
2
8:5
3
15
6
Pontevedra
9
4
2
3
12:11
1
14
Last Results with these Odds
Pontevedra - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 41.31%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Cacereño - the odds 3.08 are the expected chance of winning is 30.18%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.