Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 3

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Principe Felipe (Cáceres)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	DAZN Espana, Footballclub
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Cacereño		Leonesa

	1	X	2
	2.9	2.9	2.35
	3.10	3.00	2.10
	2.9	2.95	2.35
	2.76	3.3	2.54
	2.93	3.21	2.4	Watch
	2.65	3.2	2.45
	2.69	3.14	2.38
	2.85	2.95	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↓ (3.54)	3.08 ↓ (3.15)	2.36 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cacereño
31.9%

Draw
29.5%

Leonesa
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.3%

29.5%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.1%

29.2%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cacereño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cacereño's performance.

Leonesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leonesa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cacereño than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cacereño that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leonesa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cacereño - Leonesa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nieves D. (G) 17. Lopez S. 2. Martinez Munoz I. (C) 3. Molina M. 22. Exposito A. 8. Gete A. 6. Conesa N. 16. Navarro S. 18. Artola J. 20. Tellechea I. 9. Chit O.	1. Parera P. M. (G) 20. Lopez I. 3. Vazquez J. 15. Jaso Zunzarren A. (C) 16. Lopez O. 10. Cardero A. 8. Ndiaye A. 23. Algobia A. 7. Benito P. A. P. 9. Delgado J. 22. Queipo D.
Substitutes
4. Barea P. 24. Cabrera U. 5. Calvo T. 7. Fernandez I. 13. Garcia G. (G) 23. Gonzalez J. 11. Monerris A. 15. Rodriguez V. 10. Runy 21. Sanchez L. 19. Sevila M.	31. Fernandez M. 11. Garcia H. 21. Garcia J. 18. Joao Fersura 6. Maestre S. 2. Ortega G. 5. Pier R. 17. Pomares C. 13. San Roman M. (G) 24. Tiru B.
Coaches
Cobos J.	Jandro Castro

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', Martinez Munoz I. 🟨,
62', Algobia A. 🟨,
67', 1 - 0, Chit O. ⚽,
69', Cardero A. ↓, Garcia H. ↑,
74', Tellechea I. 🟨,
78', Navarro S. ↓, Runy ↑,
78', Artola J. ↓, Calvo T. ↑,
79', Ndiaye A. ↓, Pomares C. ↑,
79', Lopez O. ↓, Joao Fersura ↑,
85', Tellechea I. ↓, Fernandez I. ↑,
88', Vazquez J. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
90+1', Calvo T. 🟨,
90+7', Benito P. A. P. 🟨,

Preview

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Cacereño may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cacereño won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Including home match between the teams, Cacereño won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Cacereno	6	3	2	1	6:3	3	11
12	Cultural Leonesa	6	2	2	2	4:5	-1	8

Last Results with these Odds

Leonesa - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 44.25%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CP Cacereño
Spanish Copa Federacion
09.09.26	Cacereño - UD San Pedro	2:0 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
06.09.26	Deportivo A Coruña B - Cacereño	1:1 ✺
28.08.26	Cacereño - Mirandés	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
21.08.26	Unionistas de Salamanca - Cacereño	1:0 ✺
05.08.26	Cacereño - CD Guadalajara	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WTWLW
- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
06.09.26	Leonesa - Mérida AD	1:0 ✺
30.08.26	Barakaldo - Leonesa	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
21.08.26	Atlético Astorga - Leonesa	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Leonesa - Salamanca	5:0 ✺
05.08.26	Leonesa - Real Avilés	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
07.02.16	Cacereño - Leonesa	0:1
20.09.15	Leonesa - Cacereño	1:0

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