Match Info

Primera Federacion Women - Round 24

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday


	Cacereño		Villarreal

	1	X	2
	2.13	3.23	2.94
	2.2	3.29	3.04	Watch
	2.2	2.9	3
	2.22	3.02	3.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.94)	3.11 ↑ (3.1)	3.03 ↑ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cacereño
41.2%

Draw
29%

Villarreal
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

29.6%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

29.8%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cacereño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cacereño's performance.

Villarreal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Villarreal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cacereño than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cacereño that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Villarreal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cacereño - Villarreal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
82', 🟥,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Federacion Women (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Cacereño has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Villarreal has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cacereño won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Cacereno W	4	2	0	2	5:6	-1	6
7	Villarreal W	4	1	2	1	4:4	0	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CP Cacereño Women
Spanish Primera Federacion Women
29.03.26	Deportivo Alavés - Cacereño	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Cacereño - Barcelona B	1:5 ✺
14.03.26	Betis - Cacereño	3:1 ✺
22.02.26	Cacereño - SE AEM	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Tenerife B - Cacereño	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TLLWL
- Villarreal CF Women
Spanish Primera Federacion Women
29.03.26	Villarreal - Tenerife B	1:3 ✺
22.03.26	CE Europa - Villarreal	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Villarreal - Valencia	2:2 ✺
21.02.26	Atlético Madrid B - Villarreal	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Villarreal - Deportivo Alavés	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera Federacion Women
08.11.25	Villarreal - Cacereño	1:1
20.04.25	Villarreal - Cacereño	1:0

Cacereño - Villarreal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide