Match Info

Cymru North - Round 30

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday


	Caersws		Denbigh Town

	1	X	2
	2.32	3.7	2.45
	2.33	3.9	2.46
	2.41	4	2.48	Watch
	2.3	3.6	2.4
	2.34	4.25	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.33)	3.89 ↑ (3.75)	2.45 ↓ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caersws
39.1%

Draw
23.5%

Denbigh Town
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

24.2%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

24.3%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caersws has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Denbigh Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caersws than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denbigh Town than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Caersws - Denbigh Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Jones A. ⚽,
40', 2 - 0, Rowlands T. ⚽,
45+1', 3 - 0, Hesden R. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
49', 4 - 0, Rowlands T. ⚽,
64', 5 - 0, Edwards T. ⚽,
90+2', 6 - 0, Harries A. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 6).

In recent matches, Caersws has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Denbigh Town is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Denbigh Town may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Denbigh Town has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Caersws won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 1:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, Caersws won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Caersws FC	9	5	2	2	21:14	7	17
13	Denbigh	10	2	1	7	18:23	-5	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caersws FC
Welsh Cymru North
13.04.26	Caersws - Buckley Town	3:2 ✺
11.04.26	Guilsfield - Caersws	4:1 ✺
06.04.26	Caersws - Penrhyncoch	1:2 ✺
03.04.26	Gresford Athletic - Caersws	0:2 ✺
28.03.26	Caersws - Llandudno	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLLWL
- Denbigh Town
Welsh Cymru North
03.04.26	Denbigh Town - Penrhyncoch	1:0 ✺
31.03.26	Denbigh Town - Holyhead Hotspur	1:1 ✺
20.03.26	Denbigh Town - Airbus UK Broughton	3:2 ✺
13.03.26	Buckley Town - Denbigh Town	1:4 ✺
06.03.26	Denbigh Town - Brickfield Rangers	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.8 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru North
25.07.25	Denbigh Town - Caersws	3:2
15.03.25	Caersws - Denbigh Town	1:1
16.08.24	Denbigh Town - Caersws	2:0
08.08.23	Denbigh Town - Caersws	4:1

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