Match Info

Cymru North - Round 23

Date: 6 April 2026, Monday


	Caersws		Penrhyncoch

	1	X	2
	2	3.6	2.98
	2.03	3.8	2.98
	2.08	3.81	3.06	Watch
	2	3.4	2.9
	2.03	3.94	3.11
	1.68	3.8	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.65)	3.73 ↓ (3.84)	3.17 ↓ (4.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caersws
46.5%

Draw
24.6%

Penrhyncoch
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.6%

23.5%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

22.1%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caersws has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Caersws's form might have worsened.

Penrhyncoch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Penrhyncoch's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caersws than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Caersws, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penrhyncoch than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Penrhyncoch, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Caersws - Penrhyncoch Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Owen D. ⚽,
45+2', 1 - 1, Phillips S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', 1 - 2, Owen D. ⚽,
90+3', 🟥,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 15).

Caersws has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Penrhyncoch has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Caersws may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Caersws is considered a favorite.

We predict that Caersws will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Caersws won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 1.8:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Caersws won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 1.5:3.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Caersws FC	9	5	2	2	21:14	7	17
16	Penrhyncoch	10	0	1	9	4:30	-26	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caersws FC
Welsh Cymru North
03.04.26	Gresford Athletic - Caersws	0:2 ✺
28.03.26	Caersws - Llandudno	0:1 ✺
21.03.26	Caersws - Rhyl	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Holywell Town - Caersws	3:1 ✺
07.03.26	Caersws - Airbus UK Broughton	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLWLL
- Penrhyncoch FC
Welsh Cymru North
03.04.26	Denbigh Town - Penrhyncoch	1:0 ✺
28.03.26	Penrhyncoch - Holywell Town	0:1 ✺
21.03.26	Flint Mountain - Penrhyncoch	2:3 ✺
14.03.26	Penrhyncoch - Holyhead Hotspur	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	Buckley Town - Penrhyncoch	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru North
04.02.26	Penrhyncoch - Caersws	1:3
01.03.25	Caersws - Penrhyncoch	1:2
18.02.25	Penrhyncoch - Caersws	4:1
Welsh Cymru Alliance
20.09.17	Caersws - Penrhyncoch	2:5

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