Match Info

Cymru North - Round 6

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday


	Caersws		Holywell Town

	1	X	2
	4.55	4.15	1.55
	4.5	4.26	1.59
	5.08	3.18	1.77	Watch
	5.21	4.1	1.51
	3.8	4.1	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.63 ↑ (3.8)	3.96 ↓ (4.1)	1.62 ↓ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caersws
19.9%

Draw
23.3%

Holywell Town
56.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24%

22.2%

53.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8%

22%

54.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caersws has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Holywell Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caersws than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holywell Town than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Caersws - Holywell Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Breese J. ⚽,
24', 1 - 1, Austin R. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
51', 1 - 2, Lindfield C. ⚽,
90+3', 1 - 3, Kempster-Down Z. ⚽,
90+5', Harries A. 🟥,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier).

Caersws is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Holywell Town is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, Holywell Town is the team to beat.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caersws won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:12. (average 1:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Caersws won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 1:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caersws FC
Welsh Cymru North
25.08.25	Newtown - Caersws	2:1 ✺
16.08.25	Rhyl - Caersws	3:0 ✺
09.08.25	Caersws - Mold Alexandra	0:2 ✺
02.08.25	Caersws - Brickfield Rangers	2:0 ✺
25.07.25	Denbigh Town - Caersws	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLWL
- Holywell Town
Welsh Cymru North
25.08.25	Holywell Town - Ruthin Town	5:1 ✺
22.08.25	Holyhead Hotspur - Holywell Town	0:1 ✺
16.08.25	Holywell Town - Guilsfield	4:1 ✺
08.08.25	Denbigh Town - Holywell Town	1:2 ✺
Welsh League Cup
02.08.25	Flint Town United - Holywell Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru North
18.01.25	Caersws - Holywell Town	2:0
26.08.24	Holywell Town - Caersws	3:1
Welsh League Cup
20.07.24	Caersws - Holywell Town	0:1
Welsh Cymru North
03.02.24	Caersws - Holywell Town	1:2
Welsh League Cup
06.08.22	Caersws - Holywell Town	1:6

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