Match Info

Serie D - Group A - Round 18

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday


	Cairese		Chisola

	1	X	2
	3.7	3	1.9
	3.9	3	1.9
	4.09	3.1	1.9	Watch
	4.25	3	1.88
	4.2	3	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.03 ↑ (2.75)	3.02 ↓ (3.25)	1.89 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cairese
22.4%

Draw
29.9%

Chisola
47.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

27.8%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

28.1%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cairese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cairese's form might have worsened.

Chisola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chisola's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cairese than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cairese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chisola than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chisola, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Cairese - Chisola Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Piacenza T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', 1 - 1, Ciccone L. ⚽,
90+1', 2 - 1, Graziani G. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs: )).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Chisola is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cairese won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Cairese won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Chisola	6	2	2	2	9:7	2	8

Last Results with these Odds

Chisola - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 39.31%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Cairese
Italian Serie D - Group A
21.12.25	Cairese - Gozzano	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Valenzana Mado - Cairese	0:0 ✺
07.12.25	Cairese - Vado	0:0 ✺
30.11.25	Club Milano - Cairese	0:1 ✺
26.11.25	Imperia - Cairese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TTTWL
- Chisola Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group A
21.12.25	Chisola - Valenzana Mado	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	Lavagnese - Chisola	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Chisola - Gozzano	1:1 ✺
30.11.25	Ligorna - Chisola	4:0 ✺
23.11.25	Chisola - Vado	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
16.02.25	Chisola - Cairese	0:0
19.10.24	Cairese - Chisola	0:1

Cairese - Chisola: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide