Match Info

Serie D - Group A - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday


	Ligorna		Chisola

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.25	4.45
	1.65	3.65	4.68	Watch
	1.67	3.8	4.34
	1.79	3.15	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.8)	3.46 ↑ (3.28)	4.37 ↑ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ligorna
53.1%

Draw
26.2%

Chisola
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.6%

27.7%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

27.1%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ligorna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Chisola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ligorna than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chisola than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Ligorna - Chisola Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', 1 - 0, Bruzzo M. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ligorna won 3.

Ligorna is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Chisola has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Ligorna is a strong favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Ligorna won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:6. (average 1.9:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Ligorna won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 2.3:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Ligorna	6	3	1	2	11:10	1	10
9	Chisola	6	2	2	2	9:7	2	8

Last Results with these Odds

Ligorna - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 50.62%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SCD Ligorna 1922
Italian Serie D - Group A
03.05.26	Ligorna - NovaRomentin	9:1 ✺
26.04.26	Asti - Ligorna	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Ligorna - Biellese	2:1 ✺
12.04.26	Chisola - Ligorna	0:0 ✺
02.04.26	Ligorna - Cairese	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WTWTT
- Chisola Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group A
03.05.26	Valenzana Mado - Chisola	2:3 ✺
26.04.26	Chisola - Lavagnese	4:2 ✺
19.04.26	Gozzano - Chisola	3:2 ✺
12.04.26	Chisola - Ligorna	0:0 ✺
02.04.26	Vado - Chisola	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
12.04.26	Chisola - Ligorna	0:0
30.11.25	Ligorna - Chisola	4:0
23.03.25	Chisola - Ligorna	2:2
10.11.24	Ligorna - Chisola	1:0
28.04.24	Ligorna - Chisola	2:1
16.12.23	Chisola - Ligorna	2:2
08.01.23	Chisola - Ligorna	0:2

Ligorna - Chisola: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide