Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 8

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Cala Pozuelo		San Sebastian Reyes B

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.25	3.25
	2.18	3.15	2.65
	1.89	3.60	3.49
	1.93	3.53	3.49	Watch
	1.87	3.55	3.45
	1.85	3.70	3.70
	1.85	3.55	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.17)	3.48 ↑ (3.15)	3.35 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cala Pozuelo
46.9%

Draw
26.1%

San Sebastian Reyes B
27%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.1%

27.6%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

24.4%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cala Pozuelo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cala Pozuelo's performance.

San Sebastian Reyes B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Sebastian Reyes B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cala Pozuelo than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Sebastian Reyes B than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Cala Pozuelo - San Sebastian Reyes B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
78', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the top teams against an opponent battling near the bottom (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 Playoffs and 16th in the Relegation).

Cala Pozuelo has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

SS Reyes B has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Cala Pozuelo	8	4	2	2	13:11	2	14
15	San Sebastian Reyes B	8	2	1	5	14:21	-7	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Cala Pozuelo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
18.10.26	Trival Valderas - Cala Pozuelo	2:2 ✺
10.10.26	Cala Pozuelo - Alcobendas	2:1 ✺
04.10.26	Galapagar - Cala Pozuelo	1:3 ✺
26.09.26	Cala Pozuelo - Leganés B	1:0 ✺
13.09.26	Rayo Vallecano B - Cala Pozuelo	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.1 TWWWW
- San Sebastian Reyes B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
18.10.26	San Sebastian Reyes B - Rayo Vallecano B	4:3 ✺
11.10.26	Las Rozas - San Sebastian Reyes B	4:2 ✺
04.10.26	San Sebastian Reyes B - Real Aranjuez	3:5 ✺
27.09.26	Pozuelo de Alarcón - San Sebastian Reyes B	3:2 ✺
13.09.26	Siello - San Sebastian Reyes B	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLLLW

Cala Pozuelo - San Sebastian Reyes B