Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 7

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Trival Valderas		Cala Pozuelo

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.20	3.40
	1.98	3.1	3.4
	2.1	3.2	3.32
	2.09	3.22	3.36	Watch
	2.05	3	3.25
	2.02	3.05	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.64)	3.13 ↓ (3.4)	3.37 ↓ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trival Valderas
44.4%

Draw
28.8%

Cala Pozuelo
26.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.1%

25.6%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

27.8%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trival Valderas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Trival Valderas's form might have worsened.

Cala Pozuelo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cala Pozuelo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trival Valderas than the current prediction. (+13.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Trival Valderas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cala Pozuelo than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cala Pozuelo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Trival Valderas - Cala Pozuelo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', 1 - 0, ⚽,
57', 1 - 1, ⚽,
72', 1 - 2, ⚽,
80', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 6th and 3rd in the Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 Playoffs).

Trival Valderas has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Cala Pozuelo is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Cala Pozuelo could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Trival Valderas is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Trival Valderas has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:3 (averaging 2.5:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Trival Valderas against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 4:2 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Cala Pozuelo	8	4	2	2	13:11	2	14
8	Trival Valderas	8	3	4	1	12:9	3	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Trival Valderas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
11.10.26	Rayo Vallecano B - Trival Valderas	1:0 ✺
04.10.26	Trival Valderas - Las Rozas	2:1 ✺
26.09.26	Real Aranjuez - Trival Valderas	1:2 ✺
20.09.26	Trival Valderas - Pozuelo de Alarcón	1:1 ✺
13.09.26	Parla Escuela - Trival Valderas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWWTT
- AD Cala Pozuelo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
10.10.26	Cala Pozuelo - Alcobendas	2:1 ✺
04.10.26	Galapagar - Cala Pozuelo	1:3 ✺
26.09.26	Cala Pozuelo - Leganés B	1:0 ✺
13.09.26	Rayo Vallecano B - Cala Pozuelo	2:3 ✺
05.09.26	Cala Pozuelo - Las Rozas	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
17.04.25	Cala Pozuelo - Trival Valderas	1:1
07.12.24	Trival Valderas - Cala Pozuelo	4:2

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