The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Calahorra 58.5%
Draw 27.1%
Izarra 14.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.5%
30.2%
23.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.5%
27.6%
25.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Calahorra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Calahorra's performance.
Izarra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Izarra might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Calahorra than the current prediction. (-16%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Calahorra that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Izarra than the current prediction. (+11.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Izarra could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Calahorra - Izarra Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
19', 1 - 0, Junior ⚽,
22', 1 - 1, Hernandez I. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+3', 2 - 1, Garro B. ⚽,
Preview
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out and 17 in the zone Relegation).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Calahorra won 3.
Two teams are in a poor body shape now.
In this match Calahorra is a favorite.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Calahorra won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:5 (average 1.3:0.6).
Including matches at home between the teams Calahorra won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:1 (average 1.5:0.3).