Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 28

Date: 23 March 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Gernika		Calahorra

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.9	2.9
				Watch
	2.37	2.98	3.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.13)	2.94 ↓ (3.18)	2.99 ↓ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gernika
38.8%

Draw
30.8%

Calahorra
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

29.1%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

28.4%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gernika has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Calahorra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gernika than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gernika, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Calahorra than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Gernika - Calahorra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
43', 1 - 0, Larrauri J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out and 12).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Calahorra could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gernika won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:4 (average 1.4:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Gernika won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:1 (average 2.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gernika Club
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
15.03.25	Utebo - Gernika	2:0 ✺
08.03.25	Gernika - Eibar B	0:4 ✺
02.03.25	Tudelano - Gernika	1:2 ✺
22.02.25	Gernika - Ejea	2:2 ✺
16.02.25	Izarra - Gernika	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LLWTW
- CD Calahorra
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
16.03.25	Calahorra - UD Logroñés	1:0 ✺
09.03.25	Alavés B - Calahorra	3:0 ✺
02.03.25	Calahorra - Zaragoza B	0:2 ✺
23.02.25	Alfaro - Calahorra	0:0 ✺
16.02.25	Calahorra - Real Sociedad C	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
10.11.24	Calahorra - Gernika	0:0
10.03.24	Calahorra - Gernika	0:1
28.10.23	Gernika - Calahorra	2:0
27.01.19	Gernika - Calahorra	3:1
09.09.18	Calahorra - Gernika	3:1

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