Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 28

Date: 23 March 2025, Sunday


	Izarra		Utebo

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.1	1.88
	3.75	3.15	1.95
	3.88	3.25	1.91	Watch
	4.03	3.34	1.87
	3.75	3.15	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.82 ↓ (4.36)	3.2 ↓ (3.33)	1.91 ↑ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Izarra
23.8%

Draw
28.5%

Utebo
47.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.9%

27.4%

51.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.4%

26.8%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Izarra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Utebo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Izarra than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utebo than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Utebo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Izarra - Utebo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Ballarin D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+2', 🟥,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Izarra is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Utebo is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Utebo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Utebo will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Izarra won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 2:10 (average 0.4:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Izarra won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Izarra
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
16.03.25	Eibar B - Izarra	1:2 ✺
09.03.25	Izarra - Tudelano	0:1 ✺
02.03.25	Ejea - Izarra	1:0 ✺
23.02.25	Izarra - Teruel	1:2 ✺
16.02.25	Izarra - Gernika	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 34 WLLLL
- Utebo FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
15.03.25	Utebo - Gernika	2:0 ✺
09.03.25	UD Logroñés - Utebo	1:1 ✺
02.03.25	Utebo - Alavés B	0:1 ✺
23.02.25	Zaragoza B - Utebo	0:2 ✺
15.02.25	Utebo - Alfaro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
10.11.24	Utebo - Izarra	4:1
18.02.24	Utebo - Izarra	1:0
08.10.23	Izarra - Utebo	1:2
12.02.23	Izarra - Utebo	0:2
25.09.22	Utebo - Izarra	1:0

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