Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 17 - Round 17

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday


	Calamocha		Cariñena

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.45	4.45
	1.69	3.6	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.69)	3.53 ↑ (3.53)	4.39 (4.39)

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Current Win Probability

Calamocha
53.7%

Draw
25.7%

Cariñena
20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

25.1%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Calamocha have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Cariñena have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calamocha than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cariñena than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 1)
54', 1 - 0, ⚽,
85', 1 - 1, ⚽,
85', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90+4', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 17 (Play Offs: ) and 13).

Calamocha is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Cariñena is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Calamocha may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Calamocha is a strong favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Calamocha won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Calamocha won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Calamocha
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
03.01.26	Robres - Calamocha	0:1 ✺
21.12.25	Huesca B - Calamocha	0:2 ✺
14.12.25	Calamocha - Cuarte	1:1 ✺
06.12.25	Illueca - Calamocha	2:4 ✺
23.11.25	Calamocha - Caspe	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WWTWL
- CD Cariñena
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
04.01.26	Cariñena - Huesca B	0:1 ✺
21.12.25	Cuarte - Cariñena	3:1 ✺
14.12.25	Cariñena - Illueca	3:3 ✺
06.12.25	Caspe - Cariñena	0:0 ✺
16.11.25	Casetas - Cariñena	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
31.03.24	Calamocha - Cariñena	0:1
12.11.23	Cariñena - Calamocha	3:2
12.02.23	Calamocha - Cariñena	2:0
16.10.22	Cariñena - Calamocha	1:0
20.02.22	Calamocha - Cariñena	1:1

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