The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Calamocha 52.1%
Draw 28.2%
Tamarite 19.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.2%
28.5%
20.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.1%
27.5%
19.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Calamocha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
Tamarite has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calamocha than the current prediction. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tamarite than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Calamocha - Tamarite Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Flo A. ⚽,
37', 1 - 1, Carrasco R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+6', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 17 (Play Offs: ) and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Calamocha won 2.
Calamocha is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Tamarite has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Tamarite may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Calamocha is seen as the favorite.
We predict that Calamocha will win today's game, with odds of 1.75.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Calamocha won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Calamocha won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1:1.8).