Match Info

Date: 6 March 2022, Sunday


	Calamocha		Utebo

	1	X	2
	3.9	2.95	1.9
	3.6	2.9	1.89
	3.7	2.95	1.92
	3.82	3	1.93
	3.94	2.9	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.79 ↑ (3.6)	2.94 ↑ (2.88)	1.93 ↑ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Calamocha
23.5%

Draw
30.3%

Utebo
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.1%

30.1%

45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.2%

22.8%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Calamocha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Utebo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Calamocha than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Calamocha that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utebo than the current prediction. (+14.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Utebo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Calamocha could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Utebo will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Calamocha won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Calamocha won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Calamocha
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
27.02.22	Atlético Monzón - Calamocha	0:1 ✺
20.02.22	Calamocha - Cariñena	1:1 ✺
13.02.22	Barbastro - Calamocha	1:0 ✺
06.02.22	Calamocha - Zaragoza B	1:1 ✺
02.02.22	Calamocha - Belchite	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WTLTT
- Utebo FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
26.02.22	Utebo - Illueca	3:1 ✺
16.02.22	Biescas - Utebo	0:4 ✺
30.01.22	Utebo - Robres	1:3 ✺
15.01.22	Utebo - Cuarte	3:1 ✺
09.01.22	Caspe - Utebo	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
27.01.21	Utebo - Calamocha	1:0
18.10.20	Calamocha - Utebo	0:1
29.12.19	Calamocha - Utebo	2:2
17.03.19	Calamocha - Utebo	0:1
01.11.18	Utebo - Calamocha	3:2

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