Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 14 - ROUND 18

Date: 21 January 2024, Sunday


	Calamonte		Don Álvaro

	1	X	2
	1.51	3.75	5.25
	1.45	3.81	5.54
	1.46	3.9	6.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.62)	3.82 ↑ (3.53)	5.74 ↑ (4.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Calamonte
60.9%

Draw
23.5%

Don Álvaro
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

25.6%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5%

24.8%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Calamonte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Calamonte's performance.

Don Álvaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Calamonte than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Don Álvaro than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Calamonte - Don Álvaro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 15).

Calamonte is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Don Álvaro is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Calamonte is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Calamonte won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Calamonte won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Calamonte
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
14.01.24	Calamonte - Racing Valverdeño	2:1 ✺
07.01.24	Azuaga - Calamonte	2:2 ✺
16.12.23	Calamonte - Villafranca	1:1 ✺
03.12.23	Fuente de Cantos - Calamonte	2:2 ✺
26.11.23	Calamonte - Don Benito	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 WTTTW
- CD Don Álvaro
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
14.01.24	Don Álvaro - Pueblonuevo	4:1 ✺
07.01.24	Racing Valverdeño - Don Álvaro	0:1 ✺
16.12.23	Don Álvaro - Azuaga	1:1 ✺
03.12.23	Villafranca - Don Álvaro	1:1 ✺
26.11.23	Don Álvaro - Fuente de Cantos	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.3 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
10.09.23	Don Álvaro - Calamonte	1:1
26.03.23	Calamonte - Don Álvaro	1:1
27.11.22	Don Álvaro - Calamonte	2:1
30.01.22	Don Álvaro - Calamonte	1:1
26.09.21	Calamonte - Don Álvaro	1:2

Calamonte - Don Álvaro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide