Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 14 - ROUND 15

Date: 16 December 2023, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Don Álvaro		Azuaga

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.3	1.72
	4.2	3.5	1.75
	4.02	3.21	1.82
	4.03	3.21	1.83
	4.25	3.4	1.75
	4.2	3.5	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.13 ↓ (5.73)	3.35 ↓ (3.75)	1.77 ↑ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Don Álvaro
21.9%

Draw
27%

Azuaga
51.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

15.8%

24.2%

60%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.5%

23.8%

61%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Don Álvaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Don Álvaro's performance.

Azuaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Azuaga might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Don Álvaro than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Don Álvaro that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Azuaga than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Azuaga could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Don Álvaro - Azuaga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )).

Don Álvaro is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Azuaga is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Azuaga is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Don Álvaro won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 0-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Don Álvaro won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Don Álvaro
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
03.12.23	Villafranca - Don Álvaro	1:1 ✺
26.11.23	Don Álvaro - Fuente de Cantos	0:2 ✺
19.11.23	Don Benito - Don Álvaro	3:0 ✺
12.11.23	Don Álvaro - Diocesano	1:1 ✺
29.10.23	Don Álvaro - Moralo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 TLLTT
- CD Azuaga
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
03.12.23	Azuaga - Racing Valverdeño	2:0 ✺
26.11.23	Pueblonuevo - Azuaga	0:2 ✺
19.11.23	Villafranca - Azuaga	3:0 ✺
12.11.23	Azuaga - Fuente de Cantos	3:1 ✺
05.11.23	Don Benito - Azuaga	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
29.01.23	Don Álvaro - Azuaga	0:4
25.09.22	Azuaga - Don Álvaro	2:0
06.02.22	Azuaga - Don Álvaro	1:0

Don Álvaro - Azuaga

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Don Álvaro - Azuaga Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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