Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 5

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday


	Calasancio		Casalarreina

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.30	2.75
	2.17	3.20	2.65
	2.27	3.35	2.91
	2.18	3.53	2.9	Watch
	2.20	3.20	2.85
	2.20	3.89	2.97
	2.10	3.40	2.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (2.15)	3.41 ↓ (3.5)	2.83 ↓ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Calasancio
41.5%

Draw
26.5%

Casalarreina
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

26.2%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Calasancio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Casalarreina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Calasancio - Casalarreina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, ⚽,
45+1', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', 2 - 1, ⚽,
74', 🟥,

Preview

Casalarreina may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Calasancio holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Calasancio has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 0:4 (averaging 0:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Calasancio against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 0:4 goals (averaging 0:2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Calasancio	5	1	2	2	7:12	-5	5
17	Casalarreina	5	1	0	4	4:12	-8	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CP Calasancio
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
06.09.26	Calasancio - Alfaro	2:2 ✺
06.06.21	Calasancio - Agoncillo	1:1 ✺
30.05.21	Comillas - Calasancio	4:0 ✺
01.05.21	Agoncillo - Calasancio	0:1 ✺
25.04.21	Calasancio - Comillas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 TTLWT
- Casalarreina CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
26.09.26	Casalarreina - Agoncillo	1:5 ✺
11.05.25	La Calzada - Casalarreina	2:0 ✺
04.05.25	Casalarreina - Autol	1:0 ✺
16.04.25	Casalarreina - River Ebro	3:1 ✺
06.04.25	Casalarreina - Peña Balsamaiso	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
17.03.21	Calasancio - Casalarreina	0:2
16.02.20	Calasancio - Casalarreina	0:2

Calasancio - Casalarreina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide