Match Info

Liga 3 - Round 4

Date: 6 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Municipal Nuno Álvares Pereira (Cernache do Bonjardim)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Vitória de Sernache		Belenenses

	1	X	2
	4.80	3.50	1.60
	4.9	3.45	1.58
	5.6	3.68	1.64
	5.38	3.69	1.63	Watch
	5.65	3.7	1.58
	5.5	3.56	1.65
	4.9	3.55	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.25 ↑ (4.35)	3.59 ↑ (3.5)	1.6 ↓ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitória de Sernache
17.4%

Draw
25.5%

Belenenses
57.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.6%

25.6%

53.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitória de Sernache has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Belenenses has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Vitória de Sernache - Belenenses Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Joao Lucas (G) 20. Barge G. 10. Dias A. 18. Dudu 14. Henrique B. 17. Marques T. 4. Matheus Matias 19. Moura E. (C) 7. Patricio A. 2. Paulinho 3. Tavares D.	99. Oliveira G. (G) 14. Afonso A. 27. Barros E. 23. Bruninho 66. Cesinha 33. Chamito 17. Horta Leitao D. 15. Lucas J. 58. Monteiro D. 21. Morgado T. 4. Nuno Tomas (C)
Substitutes
6. Embalo R. 16. Fachadas L. (G) 5. Goncalves Rosario M. M. . Graca H. . Haymamba N. (G) 9. Henrique Cavalcante 15. Lucas Daniel 11. Muriel J. 8. Santos M.	22. Bandarra M. 95. Diego (G) 81. Ferreira D. 8. Herrera J. 38. Lian 20. Moninhas T. 11. Oliveira J. 39. Pinto A. 19. Valente A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
43', 0 - 1, Nuno Tomas ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
55', 1 - 1, Dias A. ⚽, Dudu (A),
62', 🟨,
66', 🟨,
67', Dias A. ↓, Lucas Daniel ↑,
69', 1 - 2, Bruninho ⚽,
87', 🟨,
88', 1 - 3, Oliveira J. ⚽,
90+1', Moninhas T. 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

Belenenses is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Belenenses is a strong favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitória de Sernache
Taça de Portugal
30.08.26	Nazarenos - Vitória de Sernache	0:3 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
16.08.26	Vitória de Sernache - Covilhã	0:0 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
10.06.26	Leça - Vitória de Sernache	2:1 penalties ✺
31.05.26	Vitória de Sernache - Louletano	1:1 ✺
23.05.26	Atlético da Malveira - Vitória de Sernache	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WTLTW
- Os Belenenses
Taça de Portugal
30.08.26	Lusitano GC - Belenenses	1:2 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
22.08.26	Belenenses - União de Santarém	5:0 ✺
15.08.26	Louletano - Belenenses	1:3 ✺
08.08.26	Belenenses - Caldas	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
31.07.26	Belenenses - Estoril Praia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWWWT

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