Match Info

Liga 3 - Round 6

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estádio Municipal Nuno Álvares Pereira (Cernache do Bonjardim) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Portugal	15:00	Canal 11


	Vitória de Sernache		Louletano

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.00	2.30
	2.80	2.95	2.32
	2.88	3.05	2.57
	2.86	3.19	2.46	Watch
	2.85	3.00	2.50
	2.86	3.00	2.35
	2.80	3.00	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↓ (3.03)	3.03 ↓ (3.25)	2.4 ↑ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitória de Sernache
32.1%

Draw
30%

Louletano
37.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.7%

27.8%

42.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitória de Sernache has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Louletano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Vitória de Sernache - Louletano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Joao Lucas (G) 2. Silva J. 3. Tavares D. 4. Matheus Matias 16. Garcia F. 6. Embalo R. 17. Marques T. 9. Almeida M. 19. Moura E. (C) 10. Dias A. 20. Lucas Daniel	71. Marcao (G) 27. Martelo N. 12. Gabriel Passos 3. Correia T. 97. Mendes E. 14. van der Gaag L. 8. Lemes S. 6. Vilela T. 10. Goncalves V. (C) 19. Sousa T. 23. Daniel Paulino
Substitutes
18. Dudu 12. Fernandes L. (G) 5. Goncalves Rosario M. M. 13. Graca H. 14. Henrique B. 11. Muriel J. 7. Patricio A. 8. Santos M.	2. Carlinhos 21. Cruz M. 87. Dias A. 13. Farrajota J. (G) 11. Kandala A. 17. Marinho Y. 18. Martins D. 90. Teixeira D. 29. Teixeira R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 🟨,
40', Silva J. 🟨,
42', 1 - 0, Lucas Daniel ⚽, Almeida M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Vilela T. ↓, Dias A. ↑,
46', Correia T. ↓, Carlinhos ↑,
51', Embalo R. 🟨,
55', Garcia F. 🟨,
68', Silva J. ↓, Patricio A. ↑,
74', Garcia F. ↓, Muriel J. ↑,
83', Mendes E. ↓, Cruz M. ↑,
83', Sousa T. ↓, Teixeira D. ↑,
88', Dias A. ↓, Ibouka K. ↑,
88', Lucas Daniel ↓, Henrique B. ↑,
90+1', Martelo N. ↓, Marinho Y. ↑,

Preview

A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 10th in the Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 5th in the Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )).

In recent outings, Sernache has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Sernache has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:2 (averaging 1.5:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Sernache against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 1:1 goals.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitória de Sernache
Taça de Portugal
19.09.26	Vitória de Sernache - Varzim	2:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
13.09.26	Caldas - Vitória de Sernache	2:0 ✺
06.09.26	Vitória de Sernache - Belenenses	1:3 ✺
Taça de Portugal
30.08.26	Nazarenos - Vitória de Sernache	0:3 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
16.08.26	Vitória de Sernache - Covilhã	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WLLWT
- Louletano DC
Taça de Portugal
20.09.26	Serpa - Louletano	1:2 ET ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
12.09.26	Louletano - União de Santarém	1:2 ✺
06.09.26	Louletano - Lusitano GC	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Louletano - Belenenses	1:3 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
31.05.26	Vitória de Sernache - Louletano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
31.05.26	Vitória de Sernache - Louletano	1:1
10.05.26	Louletano - Vitória de Sernache	1:2

Vitória de Sernache - Louletano