Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group - Round 6

Date: 31 May 2026, Sunday


	Vitória de Sernache		Louletano

	1	X	2
	2.72	2.92	2.52
	2.67	2.96	2.46
	2.97	2.50	2.82	Watch
	2.75	2.63	2.63
	2.58	2.74	2.77
	2.36	2.92	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.25)	2.78 ↑ (2.75)	2.7 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitória de Sernache
33.9%

Draw
32.6%

Louletano
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

31.5%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

28.3%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitória de Sernache has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Louletano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória de Sernache than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vitória de Sernache, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Louletano than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Louletano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Vitória de Sernache - Louletano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
35', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
72', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Sernache is Qualified for Liga 3

Sernache is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Louletano has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sernache won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitória de Sernache
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
23.05.26	Atlético da Malveira - Vitória de Sernache	0:3 ✺
17.05.26	Vitória de Sernache - Oliveira Hospital	0:0 ✺
10.05.26	Louletano - Vitória de Sernache	1:2 ✺
03.05.26	Vitória de Sernache - Atlético da Malveira	0:0 ✺
26.04.26	Oliveira Hospital - Vitória de Sernache	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 WTWTW
- Louletano DC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
23.05.26	Louletano - Oliveira Hospital	2:1 ✺
17.05.26	Louletano - Atlético da Malveira	1:1 ✺
10.05.26	Louletano - Vitória de Sernache	1:2 ✺
03.05.26	Oliveira Hospital - Louletano	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Atlético da Malveira - Louletano	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
10.05.26	Louletano - Vitória de Sernache	1:2

Vitória de Sernache - Louletano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide