Match Info

Date: 11 June 2022, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Caldense		Nova Venécia

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.1	1.95
	3.75	3.4	1.85
	3.5	3.1	1.93
	4.36	2.59	2.01
	3.5	3	1.95
	3.5	3.32	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.69 ↓ (5)	3.09 ↓ (3.6)	1.95 ↑ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caldense
24.5%

Draw
29.2%

Nova Venécia
46.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

18.3%

25.5%

56.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.8%

25.7%

56.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caldense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Caldense's performance.

Nova Venécia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nova Venécia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caldense than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Caldense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nova Venécia than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nova Venécia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
65%	20%	15%

Caldense - Nova Venécia Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Caldense will win (votes: 13 - 65%). Nova Venécia will win (votes: 3 - 15%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Caldense: 44.1% – 85.9%.

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Preview

Caldense has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Nova Venécia is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Nova Venécia is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Caldense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AA Caldense
Brazilian Serie D
04.06.22	Ferroviária - Caldense	1:0 ✺
28.05.22	Caldense - Ferroviária	1:2 ✺
22.05.22	Nova Venécia - Caldense	3:1
15.05.22	Caldense - URT	1:1 ✺
07.05.22	Pouso Alegre - Caldense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL
- Nova Venécia FC
Brazilian Serie D
05.06.22	Nova Venécia - Pouso Alegre	1:1 ✺
29.05.22	Pouso Alegre - Nova Venécia	1:1 ✺
22.05.22	Nova Venécia - Caldense	3:1
14.05.22	Noroeste - Nova Venécia	1:0 ✺
01.05.22	Nova Venécia - Internacional de Limeira	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
22.05.22	Nova Venécia - Caldense	3:1

Caldense - Nova Venécia