The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Caldense 24.5%
Draw 29.2%
Nova Venécia 46.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
18.3%
25.5%
56.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
17.8%
26.2%
57.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caldense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Caldense's performance.
Nova Venécia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nova Venécia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caldense than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Caldense that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nova Venécia than the current prediction. (+11.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nova Venécia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
65%
20%
15%
Caldense - Nova Venécia Predictions
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Caldense will win (votes: 13 - 65%). Nova Venécia will win (votes: 3 - 15%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 20%). Confidence interval (95%) for Caldense: 44.1% – 85.9%.
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Preview
Caldense has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Nova Venécia is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match Nova Venécia is a favorite.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Caldense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.
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