Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO MINEIRO - ROUND 8

Date: 4 March 2023, Saturday

Referee: Cardoso Hieger T. (Bra)


	Pouso Alegre		Caldense

	1	X	2
	1.87	3.25	3.9
	1.8	3.4	3.75
	2.01	3.2	3.82
	1.85	3.1	4
	1.87	3.38	4.1	Watch
	1.84	3.25	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.76)	3.26 ↓ (3.41)	3.91 ↓ (4.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pouso Alegre
48.7%

Draw
28%

Caldense
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

26.6%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

26.3%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pouso Alegre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Caldense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pouso Alegre than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caldense than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Pouso Alegre - Caldense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Recent matches Pouso Alegre is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Caldense is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Caldense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Caldense have a series of home games.

In this match Pouso Alegre is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pouso Alegre won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Pouso Alegre won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pouso Alegre FC
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
26.02.23	Ipatinga - Pouso Alegre	1:1 ✺
20.02.23	Democrata GV - Pouso Alegre	1:0 ✺
12.02.23	Pouso Alegre - Tombense	1:1 ✺
07.02.23	Cruzeiro - Pouso Alegre	0:1 ✺
04.02.23	Pouso Alegre - Patrocinense	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.7 TLTWW
- AA Caldense
Copa do Brasil
01.03.23	Caldense - Ceará	0:3 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
23.02.23	Caldense - Cruzeiro	1:2 ✺
17.02.23	Athletic Club - Caldense	3:2 ✺
11.02.23	Caldense - Villa Nova AC	2:1 ✺
08.02.23	Caldense - Ipatinga	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
25.06.22	Caldense - Pouso Alegre	0:1
07.05.22	Pouso Alegre - Caldense	1:0
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
13.02.22	Caldense - Pouso Alegre	2:1
01.05.21	Pouso Alegre - Caldense	1:0 penalties
04.04.21	Pouso Alegre - Caldense	3:1

Pouso Alegre - Caldense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide