Match Info

Date: 8 December 2021, Wednesday


	Callosa Deportiva		Roda

	1	X	2
	3.75	2.65	2.1
	3.4	2.7	2.06
	3.3	2.75	2.18
	3.71	2.49	2.27
	3.6	2.67	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.55 ↓ (3.64)	2.65 ↓ (2.85)	2.18 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Callosa Deportiva
25.2%

Draw
33.8%

Roda
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.5%

31.3%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19%

24.2%

57.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Callosa Deportiva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Roda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Callosa Deportiva than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Callosa Deportiva that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roda than the current prediction. (+16.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Roda could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Callosa Deportiva - Roda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 6 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Recent matches Callosa is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Roda is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Roda will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Callosa Deportiva
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
28.11.21	Villajoyosa - Callosa Deportiva	1:0 ✺
21.11.21	Callosa Deportiva - Atzeneta	0:0 ✺
13.11.21	Elche Ilicitano - Callosa Deportiva	0:0 ✺
07.11.21	Callosa Deportiva - Benigánim	1:0 ✺
30.10.21	Callosa Deportiva - Valencia B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LTTWL
- CD Roda
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
27.11.21	Atzeneta - Roda	0:0 ✺
20.11.21	Roda - Elche Ilicitano	1:0 ✺
13.11.21	Benigánim - Roda	0:2 ✺
06.11.21	Roda - Valencia B	1:0 ✺
30.10.21	Español de San Vicente - Roda	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 TWWWL

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