Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 25

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday


	Camberene		Gorée

	1	X	2
	3.8	2.6	2.1
	3.9	2.68	2.08
	3.94	2.61	2.11
	4.18	2.53	2.21	Watch
	3.9	2.5	2.1
	4.03	2.65	2.1	Watch
	3.7	2.7	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.92 ↑ (3.7)	2.61 ↓ (2.7)	2.11 ↑ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Camberene
22.9%

Draw
34.5%

Gorée
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.1%

33%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.6%

32.2%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Camberene has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Gorée has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Camberene than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gorée than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Camberene - Gorée Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 3).

Recent form of Camberene has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Gorée is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Gorée may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Gorée is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Camberene won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	US Goree	30	11	15	4	29:14	15	48
16	AS Camberene	30	3	15	12	16:34	-18	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Camberene
Senegal Ligue 1
25.04.26	Guédiawaye - Camberene	0:0 ✺
19.04.26	Camberene - Teungueth	0:1 ✺
12.04.26	Stade de Mbour - Camberene	0:0 ✺
30.03.26	Camberene - Wally Daan	1:2 ✺
25.03.26	AJEL de Rufisque - Camberene	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TLTLT
- US Gorée
Senegal Ligue 1
26.04.26	Casa Sport - Gorée	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Gorée - Jaraaf	0:0 ✺
12.04.26	Pikine - Gorée	0:1 ✺
30.03.26	Gorée - Sonacos	2:1 ✺
25.03.26	Génération Foot - Gorée	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Senegal Ligue 1
07.01.26	Gorée - Camberene	3:0

Camberene - Gorée: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide