Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 20

Date: 25 March 2026, Wednesday


	AJEL de Rufisque		Camberene

	1	X	2
	1.58	2.98	6.9
	1.57	3.01	6.7
	1.6	3.1	7.28	Watch
	1.57	2.88	7
	1.55	3.02	7.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.5)	3 ↓ (3.25)	7.17 ↑ (7.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AJEL de Rufisque
57.3%

Draw
30.1%

Camberene
12.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.8%

27.7%

12.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3%

26.2%

11.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AJEL de Rufisque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Camberene has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AJEL de Rufisque than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AJEL de Rufisque, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Camberene than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

AJEL de Rufisque - Camberene Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation).

AJEL has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Camberene has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, AJEL is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that AJEL will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, AJEL won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	AJEL	30	15	9	6	27:19	8	54
16	AS Camberene	30	3	15	12	16:34	-18	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AJEL de Rufisque
Senegal Ligue 1
15.03.26	Casa Sport - AJEL de Rufisque	0:1 ✺
08.03.26	AJEL de Rufisque - Jaraaf	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Pikine - AJEL de Rufisque	0:2 ✺
21.02.26	AJEL de Rufisque - Sonacos	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	AJEL de Rufisque - Génération Foot	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WWWWW
- AS Camberene
Senegal Ligue 1
15.03.26	Camberene - Ouakam	0:1 ✺
08.03.26	HLM - Camberene	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Dakar SC - Camberene	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Camberene - Casa Sport	2:2 ✺
15.02.26	Jaraaf - Camberene	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 LTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Senegal Ligue 1
30.11.25	Camberene - AJEL de Rufisque	1:1

AJEL de Rufisque - Camberene: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide