Match Info

Date: 25 September 2021, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Campinense		Guarany de Sobral

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.3	4.8
	1.75	3.3	4
	1.56	3.7	4.6
	1.57	3.82	4.65
	1.57	3.3	5.5
	1.56	3.75	5.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.96)	3.53 ↑ (3.08)	4.85 ↑ (3.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Campinense
55.9%

Draw
25.5%

Guarany de Sobral
18.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.6%

29%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

25%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Campinense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Campinense's performance.

Guarany de Sobral has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Guarany de Sobral might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Campinense than the current prediction. (-16.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Campinense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarany de Sobral than the current prediction. (+17.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guarany de Sobral could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

1st leg.

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Campinense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Campinense will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Campinense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Campinense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Campinense Clube
Brazilian Serie D
18.09.21	Campinense - Sergipe	2:1 penalties ✺
12.09.21	Sergipe - Campinense	2:2 ✺
28.08.21	América RN - Campinense	0:0 ✺
21.08.21	Campinense - Sousa	1:0 ✺
14.08.21	Campinense - Central SC	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WTTWW
- Guarany de Sobral
Brazilian Serie D
13.09.21	Galvez - Guarany de Sobral	0:0 ✺
04.09.21	Paragominas - Guarany de Sobral	2:1 ✺
28.08.21	Guarany de Sobral - Moto Club de São Luís	4:2 ✺
21.08.21	Palmas - Guarany de Sobral	0:2 ✺
14.08.21	Guarany de Sobral - Tocantinópolis	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
13.11.20	Campinense - Guarany de Sobral	1:1
30.09.20	Guarany de Sobral - Campinense	1:0

Campinense - Guarany de Sobral

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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