Match Info

Date: 12 September 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Sergipe		Campinense

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Sergipe
39.5%

Draw
33%

Campinense
27.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.1%

30.9%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

26.6%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sergipe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Campinense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sergipe than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Campinense than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Campinense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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1st leg.

Recent matches Sergipe is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Campinense is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Campinense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Sergipe will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Sergipe won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Sergipe won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Sergipe
Brazilian Serie D
05.09.21	Sergipe - Bahia de Feira	4:0 ✺
29.08.21	Retrô Brasil - Sergipe	0:0 ✺
22.08.21	Sergipe - Itabaiana	0:1 ✺
14.08.21	Murici - Sergipe	1:1 ✺
08.08.21	Sergipe - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WTLTW
- Campinense Clube
Brazilian Serie D
28.08.21	América RN - Campinense	0:0 ✺
21.08.21	Campinense - Sousa	1:0 ✺
14.08.21	Campinense - Central SC	2:1 ✺
08.08.21	Treze - Campinense	0:0 ✺
31.07.21	Campinense - Atlético Cearense	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 TWWTW

Sergipe - Campinense