The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Campinense 47.9%
Draw 30.7%
Sousa 21.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44%
29.1%
26.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.8%
29.2%
27%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Campinense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
Sousa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sousa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Campinense than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sousa than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sousa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Campinense - Sousa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Wallace (G) 2. Augusto Potiguar 11. Emerson Silva 3. Erik Henrique 10. Everton Heleno 4. Franklin 6. Jackson 9. Joaozinho 5. Lidio 8. Patrik 7. Vitinho
1. Moises (G) 9. Bambam 8. Diego Viana 16. Felipe Jacare 6. Gilmar 14. Guimaraes 2. Iranilson 4. Marcelo 21. Mateuzinho 25. Veraldo 3. Yan
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Mateuzinho ⚽,
25', Guimaraes 🟨,
28', Lidio 🟨,
38', Moises 🟨,
40', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Emerson Silva ↓, Thiaguinho ↑,
46', Gilmar ↓, Abraao ↑,
54', 🟨,
54', Veraldo ↓, Kiko ↑,
54', Bambam ↓, Matheus Bambu ↑,
60', Joaozinho ↓, Lucio Maranhao ↑,
60', Jackson ↓, Fernando Junior ↑,
61', Iranilson 🟨,
67', Mateuzinho ↓, Lucas Zanatelli ↑,
74', Felipe Jacare 🟨,
74', Lidio ↓, Kaue ↑,
83', Kiko 🟨,
85', Augusto Potiguar 🟨,
90+2', Erik Henrique 🟨,
Penalties (2 - 4)
1, (Penalty Awarded),
1, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
5, (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
First leg result: 1-0. Second leg.
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Paraibano (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Paraibano (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Campinense won 1.
Campinense is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Sousa has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Sousa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Campinense could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Campinense won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:17. (average 0.9:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Campinense won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.1:0.8).
Brazil
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Wallace (G) 
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