Match Info

BRAZIL: COPA DO NORDESTE - ROUND 8

Date: 22 March 2023, Wednesday


	Campinense		Vitória Salvador

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.1	3.25	3.2
	2.15	3.2	3
	2.14	3.13	3.45
	2.1	3	3.3
	2.07	3.32	3.32	Watch
	2.13	3.1	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.38)	3.17 ↓ (3.2)	3.25 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Campinense
43.1%

Draw
28.8%

Vitória Salvador
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

28.1%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

27.4%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Campinense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Campinense's performance.

Vitória Salvador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vitória Salvador might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Campinense than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vitória Salvador could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Campinense - Vitória Salvador Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 8 and 7).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Vitória could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Campinense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Campinense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Campinense Clube
Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
12.03.23	Auto Esporte - Campinense	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
08.03.23	Sampaio Corrêa - Campinense	1:1 ✺
04.03.23	Campinense - Ferroviário Fortaleza	2:3 ✺
Copa do Brasil
01.03.23	Campinense - Grêmio	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
26.02.23	Campinense - Treze	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WTLLT
- EC Vitória Salvador
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
08.03.23	Vitória Salvador - Ceará	2:0 ✺
05.03.23	Bahia - Vitória Salvador	1:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
01.03.23	Nova Iguaçu - Vitória Salvador	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
26.02.23	Vitória Salvador - Barcelona de Ilhéus	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
23.02.23	Vitória Salvador - Náutico Capibaribe	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
28.05.22	Campinense - Vitória Salvador	0:1

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