The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vitória Salvador 65.2%
Draw 23%
Náutico Capibaribe 11.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63.7%
23.4%
12.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
67.6%
22.1%
12.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vitória Salvador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
Náutico Capibaribe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Vitória Salvador - Náutico Capibaribe Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Lucas Arcanjo (G) 44. Baralhas 27. Caceres R. 7. Gustavo Mosquito 83. Jamerson 39. Janderson 22. Lucas Braga 5. Lucas Halter 77. Neris 10. Wellington Rato (C) 29. Willian Oliveira
19. Muriel Becker (C) 18. Auremir 33. Carlinhos 16. Felipe Santana 7. Helio Borges 23. Igor Fernandes 17. Marcos Ytalo 20. Patrick Allan 3. Rayan 11. Vinicius 22. Wenderson
Substitutes
37. Bruno Xavier 99. Carlinhos 43. Edu 23. Fabricio 21. Gabriel (G) 16. Hugo 11. Osvaldo 6. Pepe 28. Ricardo 8. Ronald Lopes 17. Thiaguinho 3. Ze Marcos
2. Arnaldo 80. Bruno Mezenga 35. de Sousa Oliveira T. 5. Igor Pereira 13. Indio 27. Kauan Maranhao 48. Leandro Kaua 12. Leo Coltro 6. Luiz Paulo 8. Marco Antonio 1. Wellerson R. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
27', 0 - 1, Helio Borges ⚽,
36', 0 - 2, Marcos Ytalo ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gustavo Mosquito ↓, Carlinhos ↑,
46', Willian Oliveira ↓, Pepe ↑,
55', Carlinhos 🟨,
59', Lucas Braga ↓, Fabricio ↑,
64', Neris ↓, Ronald Lopes ↑,
67', 🟨,
68', Wenderson ↓, Igor Pereira ↑,
68', Helio Borges ↓, Kauan Maranhao ↑,
75', Wellington Rato ↓, Bruno Xavier ↑,
75', Vinicius ↓, Luiz Paulo ↑,
90+5', 🟨,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Vitória won 0.
Vitória in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Recent matches Náutico is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Vitória could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently opponents have a series of guest games.
In this match Vitória is absolute favorite.
Our prediction for today's Vitória to win the game is with odds 1.51.
Last 12 head-to-head matches Vitória won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 14:15 (average 1.2:1.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Vitória won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9:12 (average 1.1:1.5).
Watch
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