Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group B - Round 15

Date: 5 December 2024, Thursday

Location: Stadio Nuovo Romagnoli (Campobasso)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Max


	Campobasso		Milan Futuro

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.2	4.4
	1.77	3.35	4.6
	1.73	3.34	4.95
	1.75	3.42	4.99	Watch
	1.7	3.25	4.6
	1.69	3.35	4.79	Watch
	1.77	3.35	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.98)	3.32 ↑ (3.08)	4.7 ↑ (3.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Campobasso
52.9%

Draw
27.6%

Milan Futuro
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

29.6%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

28.7%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Campobasso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Campobasso's performance.

Milan Futuro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Campobasso than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Campobasso that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milan Futuro than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Campobasso - Milan Futuro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Guadagno J. (G) 6. Benassai F. 5. Mondonico D. 33. Mancini D. 18. Pierno R. 14. Baldassin L. 23. Pellitteri A. 19. Morelli G. 27. D'Angelo Sonny 9. Di Nardo A. 73. Di Stefano L.	35. Raveyre N. (G) 33. Zukic D. 15. Coubis A. 24. Minotti G. 4. Bartesaghi D. 16. Stalmach D. 21. Sandri M. 2. Jimenez A. 28. Traore C. 20. Sia D. 32. Turco N.
Substitutes
25. Calabrese B. 4. Celesia C. 22. Forte F. (G) 7. Forte R. 3. Haveri K. 17. Lombari A. 28. Prezioso M. 36. Serra A. 11. Spalluto S.	3. Bozzolan A. 14. D'Alessio L. 13. Dutu M. 17. Fall M. 7. Longo S. 19. Magni V. 6. Malaspina M. 1. Nava L. (G) 29. Omoregbe B. 22. Pittarella M. (G) 5. Vos S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', Mancini D. 🟨,
7', 1 - 0, Di Nardo A. ⚽,
10', D'Angelo Sonny 🟨,
23', Zukic D. 🟨,
31', 1 - 1, Stalmach D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Mancini D. ↓, Celesia C. ↑,
58', Morelli G. ↓, Forte R. ↑,
58', D'Angelo Sonny ↓, Prezioso M. ↑,
64', 🟨,
66', Zukic D. ↓, Bozzolan A. ↑,
66', Stalmach D. ↓, Malaspina M. ↑,
68', Baldassin L. 🟨,
75', Sandri M. 🟨,
79', Turco N. ↓, Longo S. ↑,
83', Baldassin L. ↓, Serra A. ↑,
83', Di Nardo A. ↓, Spalluto S. ↑,
90+1', Traore C. ↓, Magni V. ↑,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Milan U23 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Campobasso is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Campobasso
Italian Serie C Group B
01.12.24	Campobasso - Rimini	1:2 ✺
24.11.24	Virtus Entella - Campobasso	3:0 ✺
10.11.24	Carpi - Campobasso	0:0 ✺
03.11.24	Campobasso - Lucchese	3:0 ✺
30.10.24	Ascoli - Campobasso	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLTWT
- Milan Futuro
Italian Serie C Group B
01.12.24	Ternana - Milan Futuro	3:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
27.11.24	Sassari Torres - Milan Futuro	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
24.11.24	Milan Futuro - Sestri Levante	2:2 ✺
21.11.24	Pescara - Milan Futuro	4:1 ✺
10.11.24	Milan Futuro - Arezzo	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWTLT

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