Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 19

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca (Ascoli Piceno)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 257, Sky Sport Calcio


	Ascoli		Campobasso

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.51	3.7	5.5
	1.52	3.8	5.9
	1.54	3.85	5.87
	1.49	4.11	5.75	Watch
	1.44	3.6	6
	1.48	3.64	6.63	Watch
	1.52	3.8	6.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.99)	3.79 ↑ (3.47)	6 ↑ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ascoli
60.7%

Draw
24.1%

Campobasso
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

26.5%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

25.1%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ascoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ascoli's performance.

Campobasso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Campobasso might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ascoli that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Campobasso than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Campobasso could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ascoli - Campobasso Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vitale S. (G) 23. Alagna M. 2. Pagliai G. 33. Rizzo N. 17. Guiebre A. 6. Ndoj E. 80. Corradini G. 7. Silipo A. 25. Rizzo Pinna A. 15. D'Uffizi S. 35. Gori G.	1. Tantalocchi E. (G) 2. Papini F. 79. Lancini E. 4. Celesia C. 18. Pierno R. 5. Gargiulo M. 6. Brunet J. 20. Martina A. 10. Gala A. 14. Bifulco A. 7. Padula C.
Substitutes
24. Bando A. 46. Barosi D. (G) 41. Brzan R. (G) 9. Chakir M. A. 18. Corazza S. 27. Cozzoli F. 30. Curado M. 19. Menna D. 62. Milanese T. 3. Nicoletti M. 11. Oviszach E. 29. Palazzino F. 60. Zagari R.	8. Cerretelli F. 27. Cristallo C. 32. Di Livio L. 3. Lanza M. 26. Leonetti V. 17. Lombari A. 9. Magnaghi S. 50. Muzi C. (G) 11. Nocerino L. 75. Parisi F. 96. Ravaglioli T. 12. Rizzo M. (G) 36. Serra A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Celesia C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Guiebre A. 🟨,
62', Silipo A. ↓, Oviszach E. ↑,
62', Ndoj E. ↓, Milanese T. ↑,
62', Rizzo Pinna A. ↓, Palazzino F. ↑,
65', Alagna M. 🟨,
67', Gala A. ↓, Serra A. ↑,
73', D'Uffizi S. ↓, Chakir M. A. ↑,
74', Bifulco A. 🟨,
78', Padula C. ↓, Leonetti V. ↑,
78', Bifulco A. ↓, Magnaghi S. ↑,
80', Leonetti V. 🟨,
84', Pierno R. ↓, Cristallo C. ↑,
90+3', Gori G. ↓, Corazza S. ↑,
90+3', Magnaghi S. 🟨,
90+9', Cristallo C. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Ascoli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ascoli is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ascoli won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Ascoli won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ascoli Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
14.12.25	Guidonia Montecelio - Ascoli	0:0 ✺
08.12.25	Ascoli - Forlì	3:0 ✺
01.12.25	Vis Pesaro - Ascoli	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Ascoli - Arezzo	0:2 ✺
15.11.25	Rimini - Ascoli	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TWTLW
- Campobasso
Italian Serie C Group B
13.12.25	Campobasso - Perugia	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Bra - Campobasso	2:0 ✺
30.11.25	Campobasso - Pianese	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Guidonia Montecelio - Campobasso	0:0 ✺
14.11.25	Forlì - Campobasso	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
11.03.25	Campobasso - Ascoli	2:0
30.10.24	Ascoli - Campobasso	1:1

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