Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group B - Round 13

Date: 3 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadio Nuovo Romagnoli (Campobasso)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 256


	Campobasso		Lucchese

	1	X	2
	2	3	3.4
	2.15	3	3.6
	2.13	3	3.68
	2.15	3	3.76	Watch
	2	3	3.6
	2.06	3.02	3.54	Watch
	2.15	3	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (1.9)	3 ↓ (3.07)	3.6 ↓ (3.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Campobasso
43.9%

Draw
30.6%

Lucchese
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

29.5%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.9%

28.2%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Campobasso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Lucchese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Campobasso than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Campobasso, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucchese than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Campobasso - Lucchese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Forte F. (G) 25. Calabrese B. 5. Mondonico D. 33. Mancini D. 18. Pierno R. 27. D'Angelo Sonny 23. Pellitteri A. 19. Morelli G. 14. Baldassin L. 73. Di Stefano L. 9. Di Nardo A.	22. Palmisani L. (G) 33. Sabbione A. (C) 4. Dumbravanu D. 26. Cartano R. 14. Quirini E. 11. Ndiaye B. 24. Welbeck N. 31. Catanese G. 29. Antoni E. 70. Saporiti E. 90. Costantino R.
Substitutes
26. Bigonzoni M. 44. Bosisio M. 4. Celesia C. 7. Forte R. 1. Guadagno J. (G) 3. Haveri K. 17. Lombari A. 28. Prezioso M. 8. Scorza C. 36. Serra A. 11. Spalluto S.	23. Botrini T. 1. Coletta J. (G) 7. Djibril M. 13. Fazzi N. 5. Frison F. 30. Gemignani A. 38. Leone M. 9. Magnaghi S. 18. Sasanelli L. 10. Selvini A. 8. Tumbarello G. 21. Visconti E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, D'Angelo Sonny ⚽,
38', Sabbione A. ↓, Frison F. ↑,
40', Palmisani L. 🟥,
41', Welbeck N. ↓, Coletta J. ↑,
42', 2 - 0, Di Nardo A. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ndiaye B. ↓, Djibril M. ↑,
62', 3 - 0, Di Nardo A. ⚽,
68', Di Stefano L. ↓, Forte R. ↑,
68', Pellitteri A. ↓, Bigonzoni M. ↑,
68', D'Angelo Sonny ↓, Prezioso M. ↑,
69', Quirini E. 🟨,
75', Baldassin L. ↓, Serra A. ↑,
75', Di Nardo A. ↓, Spalluto S. ↑,
77', Costantino R. ↓, Selvini A. ↑,
77', Antoni E. ↓, Visconti E. ↑,
78', Spalluto S. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 14).

Campobasso is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lucchese is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Lucchese could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Campobasso will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Campobasso
Italian Serie C Group B
30.10.24	Ascoli - Campobasso	1:1 ✺
26.10.24	Campobasso - Sestri Levante	0:0 ✺
21.10.24	Pineto - Campobasso	0:1 ✺
13.10.24	Campobasso - SPAL	4:0 ✺
07.10.24	Ternana - Campobasso	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 TTWWT
- AS Lucchese Libertas 1905
Italian Serie C Group B
30.10.24	Virtus Entella - Lucchese	0:0 ✺
27.10.24	Lucchese - Pescara	1:3 ✺
20.10.24	Carpi - Lucchese	0:0 ✺
11.10.24	Lucchese - Sestri Levante	0:0 ✺
06.10.24	Perugia - Lucchese	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TLTTL

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