Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 9

Date: 3 November 2024, Sunday


	Canillas		Galapagar

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.2	2.3
	2.85	3.15	2.32
	2.79	3.12	2.27
	2.84	3.24	2.34	Watch
	2.88	3.14	2.31
	2.85	3.15	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↑ (2.36)	3.17 ↑ (3.15)	2.31 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Canillas
32.2%

Draw
28.6%

Galapagar
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

28.8%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

29.5%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Canillas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Canillas's form might have worsened.

Galapagar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Galapagar's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Canillas than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Canillas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Galapagar than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Galapagar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Canillas - Galapagar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Gaviria A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
72', 1 - 1, Greciano J. ⚽,
82', 1 - 2, Figueroa A. G. d. ⚽,
90+5', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Canillas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
27.10.24	Trival Valderas - Canillas	3:1 ✺
19.10.24	Canillas - Aravaca	0:2 ✺
12.10.24	México - Canillas	3:1 ✺
06.10.24	Canillas - Parla	3:1 ✺
29.09.24	Villaverde San Andrés - Canillas	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLLWT
- CD Galapagar
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
27.10.24	Galapagar - Alcorcón B	0:1 ✺
20.10.24	Torrejón - Galapagar	1:1 ✺
13.10.24	Galapagar - Alcalá	2:2 ✺
06.10.24	Rayo Vallecano B - Galapagar	0:1 ✺
29.09.24	Galapagar - Leganés B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
07.04.24	Galapagar - Canillas	2:2
19.11.23	Canillas - Galapagar	0:2
23.04.23	Canillas - Galapagar	3:2
08.01.23	Galapagar - Canillas	4:0

Canillas - Galapagar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide