Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 31Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday
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Galapagar |
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Alcorcón B |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.3 |
3 |
2.92 |
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 |
2.21 |
2.99 |
2.96 |
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 |
2.38 |
2.87 |
3.20 |
 Watch |
 |
2.25 |
2.88 |
3.1 |
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2.24 |
3.04 |
3.07 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.28 ↓
(2.56) |
2.96 ↓
(3.13) |
3.05 ↑
(2.53) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Galapagar
39.7% | Draw
30.6% | Alcorcón B
29.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Galapagar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)Alcorcón B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alcorcón B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Galapagar than the current prediction. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcorcón B than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alcorcón B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Galapagar - Alcorcón B Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 40', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 85', 🟥,
- 86', 0 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 13).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Galapagar won 1.Both teams have been playing unpredictably.Galapagar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Galapagar won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 0.8:0.5).Including home matches between the teams, Galapagar won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 7 | Galapagar | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 8 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Galapagar - the odds 2.56 are the expected chance of winning is 35.31%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
Alcorcón B - the odds 2.53 are the expected chance of winning is 35.76%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7 | | | 13.12.25 | Alcorcón B - Galapagar | 2:1 | | 26.03.25 | Alcorcón B - Galapagar | 0:0 | | 27.10.24 | Galapagar - Alcorcón B | 0:1 | | 21.01.24 | Alcorcón B - Galapagar | 0:2 | | 24.04.22 | Galapagar - Alcorcón B | 0:0 | | 09.02.22 | Alcorcón B - Galapagar | 0:2 |
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