Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 15 - ROUND 24

Date: 10 March 2024, Sunday


	Cantolagua		Peña Sport

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.2	2.25
	3.05	2.98	2.24
	3.05	2.98	2.24
	3.02	3.16	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↑ (2.4)	3.08 ↓ (3.2)	2.24 ↓ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cantolagua
30.4%

Draw
29.3%

Peña Sport
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

28.2%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

28.7%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cantolagua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cantolagua's form might have worsened.

Peña Sport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Peña Sport's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cantolagua than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cantolagua, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peña Sport than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Peña Sport, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 15 (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 15 (Play Offs: )).

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cantolagua won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Cantolagua won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Cantolagua
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
02.03.24	Cantolagua - Bidezarra	0:0 ✺
24.02.24	Lagunak - Cantolagua	0:3 ✺
18.02.24	Cantolagua - Ardoi	2:1 ✺
10.02.24	Txantrea - Cantolagua	0:1 ✺
03.02.24	Cantolagua - Huarte	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 TWWWL
- Peña Sport
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
02.03.24	Peña Sport - Burladés	2:2 ✺
24.02.24	Bidezarra - Peña Sport	1:2 ✺
17.02.24	Peña Sport - Beti Onak	0:1 ✺
10.02.24	Lagunak - Peña Sport	0:2 ✺
03.02.24	Peña Sport - Alesves	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
22.10.23	Peña Sport - Cantolagua	1:1
12.02.23	Cantolagua - Peña Sport	1:1
16.10.22	Peña Sport - Cantolagua	0:2
27.03.21	Peña Sport - Cantolagua	3:1
24.03.19	Peña Sport - Cantolagua	6:1

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