Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 15 - ROUND 20

Date: 10 February 2024, Saturday


	Lagunak		Peña Sport

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.1	2.3
	2.75	3.2	2.35
	2.79	3	2.42
	2.72	3.18	2.36
	2.75	3.2	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↓ (2.88)	3.14 ↑ (3.09)	2.36 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lagunak
32.8%

Draw
28.8%

Peña Sport
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

29.2%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

29.3%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lagunak has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Peña Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lagunak than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peña Sport than the current prediction. (+1%)

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 15 (Play Offs: )).

Lagunak is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Peña Sport is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Lagunak won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Lagunak won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Lagunak
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
03.02.24	Lagunak - Ardoi	0:1 ✺
27.01.24	Txantrea - Lagunak	1:1 ✺
20.01.24	Huarte - Lagunak	4:1 ✺
16.01.24	Lagunak - Subiza	1:6 ✺
07.01.24	Oberena - Lagunak	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LTLLW
- Peña Sport
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
03.02.24	Peña Sport - Alesves	2:0 ✺
27.01.24	Ardoi - Peña Sport	0:0 ✺
20.01.24	Avance Ezcabarte - Peña Sport	0:2 ✺
13.01.24	Peña Sport - Txantrea	0:0 ✺
07.01.24	Peña Sport - Beti Kozkor	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
22.09.23	Peña Sport - Lagunak	1:1
05.03.23	Peña Sport - Lagunak	6:1
05.11.22	Lagunak - Peña Sport	1:1

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