Match Info

ENGLAND: ISTHMIAN LEAGUE PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 8

Date: 23 September 2023, Saturday


	Canvey Island		Margate

	1	X	2
	1.57	4	4.75
	1.63	4.23	4.43
	1.62	4	4.2
	1.62	3.98	4.6
	1.6	4	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.85)	4.04 ↑ (3.75)	4.5 ↑ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Canvey Island
57%

Draw
22.7%

Margate
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

24.1%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

24.5%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Canvey Island has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Canvey Island's performance.

Margate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Margate might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Canvey Island than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Canvey Island that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Margate than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Margate could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Canvey Island - Margate Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 16 and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Canvey Island won 2.

Canvey Island is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Margate is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Canvey Island could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Canvey Island is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Canvey Island won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Canvey Island won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Canvey Island
English FA Cup
19.09.23	Braintree Town - Canvey Island	3:1 ET ✺
16.09.23	Canvey Island - Braintree Town	1:1 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
09.09.23	Canvey Island - Whitehawk	1:2 ✺
28.08.23	Concord Rangers - Canvey Island	1:3 ✺
26.08.23	Canvey Island - Bognor Regis Town	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LTLWL
- Margate
English FA Cup
19.09.23	Folkestone Invicta - Margate	1:3 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
09.09.23	Margate - Potters Bar Town	2:1 ✺
28.08.23	Folkestone Invicta - Margate	2:0 ✺
25.08.23	Margate - Cheshunt	1:2 ✺
19.08.23	Concord Rangers - Margate	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
11.03.23	Canvey Island - Margate	5:2
15.10.22	Margate - Canvey Island	2:0
14.03.15	Canvey Island - Margate	2:2
20.09.14	Margate - Canvey Island	4:2
29.03.14	Canvey Island - Margate	2:0
30.11.13	Margate - Canvey Island	1:1
23.03.13	Margate - Canvey Island	2:2

Canvey Island - Margate: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide