Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 8

Date: 2 December 2025, Tuesday


	Canvey Island		Whitehawk

	1	X	2
	2.82	3.25	2.22
	2.99	3.68	2.02
	2.93	3.72	2.09	Watch
	2.6	3.4	2.3
	2.9	3.34	2.19
	3	3.6	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.25)	3.5 ↑ (3.35)	2.15 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Canvey Island
31.7%

Draw
26%

Whitehawk
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

26.8%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

25.9%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Canvey Island has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Canvey Island's form might have worsened.

Whitehawk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Whitehawk's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Canvey Island than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Canvey Island, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Whitehawk than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Whitehawk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Canvey Island - Whitehawk Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Whitehawk (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', (Pen),
40', 0 - 1, Bridle H. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
78', 1 - 1, Hubble C. ⚽,
90+2', 2 - 1, Newson C. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Canvey Island may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Canvey Island has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Canvey Island won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1.4:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Canvey Island won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Whitehawk - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 33.27%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Canvey Island
English Isthmian League Premier Division
29.11.25	Canvey Island - Cray Wanderers	1:1 ✺
25.11.25	Cheshunt - Canvey Island	2:0 ✺
22.11.25	Ramsgate - Canvey Island	2:0 ✺
15.11.25	Canvey Island - St Albans City	1:3 ✺
08.11.25	Canvey Island - Carshalton Athletic	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 TLLLT
- Whitehawk
English Isthmian League Premier Division
29.11.25	Whitehawk - Ramsgate	2:2 ✺
25.11.25	Whitehawk - Dartford	1:2 ✺
22.11.25	Potters Bar Town - Whitehawk	2:3 ✺
15.11.25	Whitehawk - Billericay Town	0:0 ✺
11.11.25	Chichester City - Whitehawk	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Trophy
04.10.25	Whitehawk - Canvey Island	0:2
English Isthmian League Premier Division
22.02.25	Whitehawk - Canvey Island	4:0
09.11.24	Canvey Island - Whitehawk	2:1
30.03.24	Whitehawk - Canvey Island	0:2
09.09.23	Canvey Island - Whitehawk	1:2

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