Match Info

Queensland Premier League - Round 1

Date: 20 February 2026, Friday

Location: Whites Hill Reserve (Brisbane)


	Holland Park Hawks		Logan Lightning

	1	X	2
	2.82	4.05	1.95
	2.92	4.25	2.02
	2.87	4.5	2	Watch
	2.75	4	1.95
	2.88	4.54	1.99	Watch
	2.75	4	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2.32)	4.22 ↑ (4.12)	1.97 ↓ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Holland Park Hawks
32.2%

Draw
21.6%

Logan Lightning
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

22.5%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Holland Park Hawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Holland Park Hawks's form might have worsened.

Logan Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Logan Lightning's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Holland Park Hawks - Logan Lightning Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Holland Park Hawks will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Logan Lightning will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, ⚽,
31', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Holland Park Hawks won 3.

Logan Lightning is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Holland Park Hawks won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 15:8. (average 2.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Holland Park Hawks won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 2.7:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Holland Park Hawks
Club Friendly
10.01.26	Brisbane Knights - Holland Park Hawks	0:3 ✺
Australian Queensland Premier League
24.08.25	Holland Park Hawks - South West Queensland Thunder	5:2 ✺
16.08.25	Broadbeach United - Holland Park Hawks	2:1 ✺
09.08.25	Southside Eagles - Holland Park Hawks	0:4 ✺
02.08.25	Holland Park Hawks - Capalaba	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLWL
- Logan Lightning
Australian Queensland Premier League
30.08.25	Logan Lightning - Brisbane Strikers	1:0 ✺
27.08.25	Logan Lightning - Rochedale Rovers	2:1 ✺
24.08.25	Logan Lightning - Broadbeach United	1:1 ✺
16.08.25	Rochedale Rovers - Logan Lightning	3:2 ✺
03.08.25	Magic United - Logan Lightning	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian Queensland Premier League
04.07.25	Logan Lightning - Holland Park Hawks	0:1
27.05.25	Holland Park Hawks - Logan Lightning	1:2
Australian Brisbane Premier League
11.08.17	Logan Lightning - Holland Park Hawks	1:2
29.04.17	Holland Park Hawks - Logan Lightning	3:3
09.07.16	Holland Park Hawks - Logan Lightning	4:1
02.04.16	Logan Lightning - Holland Park Hawks	1:4

Holland Park Hawks - Logan Lightning: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide