Match Info

AUSTRALIA: Queensland Premier League - Round 16

Date: 22 June 2024, Saturday


	Capalaba		Mitchelton

	1	X	2
	1.47	4.6	4.6
	1.5	5.57	4.41
	1.51	5.57	4.41
	1.5	4.5	4.5
	1.45	4.85	4.98	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.85)	5.02 ↑ (4.5)	4.58 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Capalaba
61.7%

Draw
18.3%

Mitchelton
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

20.2%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

17.5%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Capalaba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Capalaba's performance.

Mitchelton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mitchelton might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Capalaba than the current prediction. (-19.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Capalaba that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mitchelton than the current prediction. (+15.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mitchelton could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Capalaba - Mitchelton Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, ⚽,
15', 2 - 0, ⚽,
22', 3 - 0, ⚽,
38', 4 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', 5 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 10 and 12 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Capalaba is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mitchelton is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mitchelton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Capalaba will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Capalaba won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Capalaba won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Capalaba FC
Australian Queensland Premier League
15.06.24	Moreton City Excelsior U21 - Capalaba	0:5 ✺
11.06.24	Capalaba - Logan Lightning	1:2 ✺
08.06.24	Capalaba - Ipswich FC	0:5 ✺
01.06.24	Brisbane Strikers - Capalaba	3:1 ✺
28.05.24	Southside Eagles - Capalaba	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLLLW
- Mitchelton FC
Australian Queensland Premier League
16.06.24	Mitchelton - South West Queensland Thunder	2:1 ✺
09.06.24	St. George Willawong - Mitchelton	3:1 ✺
02.06.24	Mitchelton - Caboolture Sports	2:3 ✺
25.05.24	Broadbeach United - Mitchelton	3:0 ✺
19.05.24	Logan Lightning - Mitchelton	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian Brisbane Premier League
03.08.17	Capalaba - Mitchelton	4:1
08.07.17	Mitchelton - Capalaba	6:1
26.06.16	Capalaba - Mitchelton	1:1
19.03.16	Mitchelton - Capalaba	1:4
27.06.15	Mitchelton - Capalaba	4:1

Capalaba - Mitchelton: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide