Match Info

Queensland Premier League - Round 22

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: John Frederick Park (Redlands) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	16:15	FQTV


	Capalaba		Robina City

	1	X	2
	4.80	4.50	1.46
	5.3	4.7	1.39
	5.5	5.24	1.44
	5.32	5.2	1.45	Watch
	5.35	5.15	1.4
	5.2	5.47	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.25 ↑ (5.08)	5.04 ↑ (4.5)	1.43 ↓ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Capalaba
17.5%

Draw
18.2%

Robina City
64.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

18.1%

20.4%

61.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.1%

18.4%

55.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Capalaba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Robina City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Capalaba than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Robina City than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Robina City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Capalaba - Robina City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
55', 1 - 1, ⚽,
76', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Capalaba is Relegated to

Capalaba is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Robina City has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Robina City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Robina City is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Capalaba won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Capalaba FC
Australian Queensland Premier League
09.08.26	Ipswich FC - Capalaba	3:0 ✺
31.07.26	North Star - Capalaba	1:0 ✺
19.07.26	Capalaba - Holland Park Hawks	3:0 ✺
11.07.26	Redlands United - Capalaba	1:1 ✺
04.07.26	Capalaba - St. George Willawong	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 LLWTL
- Robina City SC
Australian Queensland Premier League
09.08.26	North Star - Robina City	1:0 ✺
01.08.26	Holland Park Hawks - Robina City	6:3 ✺
19.07.26	Robina City - Redlands United	1:1 ✺
11.07.26	St. George Willawong - Robina City	0:2 ✺
04.07.26	Robina City - Broadbeach United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Australian Queensland Premier League
23.06.26	Robina City - Capalaba	5:1

Capalaba - Robina City